On Saturday, December 2, 2017, the 5-6 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns take on the 7-4 Appalachian State Mountaineers. The Ragin’ Cajuns enter this game as winners of four of their last seven games, but fell last weekend against New Mexico State. Appalachian State has won their last two games, including victories over Georgia Southern and Georgia State.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-6 against the spread this season, but they have gone 7-3 against the spread on the road in their last 10 games. The Ragin’ Cajuns have won only two of their last six games on the road.
Appalachian State is 4-7 against the spread this season, including going 2-4 against the spread over their last six games. They are 4-2 against the spread in their last six home games, but are 5-11 over there last 16 games at home against the spread. The Mountaineers have won 16 of their last 21 games, including going 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.
Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Mountaineers
Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette +15 (-110); Appalachian State -15 (-110) at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Louisiana-Lafayette +475; Appalachian State -650
Totals: Over/Under59.5 (-110)
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS
Louisiana-Lafayette has shown that they have a fairly prolific offense, averaging 29.5 points per game. However, their defense is giving up nearly 38 points a game, and that is not a good equation for success.
Trey Ragas leads the Ragin’ Cajuns in running, gaining 799 yards this season with nine touchdowns and a 5.9 yards per carry average. When UL-Lafayette runs the ball, it is Ragas who will be the primary ball carrier.
The quarterback for the Ragin’ Cajuns is Jordan Davis. Davis has split time with Andre Nunez and the two have thrown for nearly 2000 yards and 13 touchdowns. Davis has also run for 269 yards and five touchdowns. It would not be surprising to see both of these young men get some time under center in this game, as the coaching staff evaluates next seasons prospects as well.
While this team can move the ball, it’s going to depend upon the defense to come up with an outing that will enable them to stay competitive in this game. This is a group that can get pressure on the quarterback, recording 20 sacks this season. The leader is Joe Dillon, who has 4.5, and five different players on this team have at least 2.0 sacks this season. They can get pressure.
The question is can they shut opposing offenses down, and that has not been the case. Tracy Walker is the leader in tackles with 82, and he adds two interceptions to his resume as well. He’s a good one, but nine total interceptions and six fumble recoveries by the Ragin’ Cajuns is not a good combination for trying to stop opposing offenses.
APPALACHIAN STATE MOUNTAINEERS
Appalachian State can score as well, averaging nearly 31 points per game, but their defense is far superior, allowing a little less than 24 points per game. The Mountaineers get a great deal of pressure on the quarterback, recording 29 sacks this season. Tee Smith leads the team in sacks with 9.5, and Rashaad Townes is second with 5.0. These two are difficult to contain and work well off of each other for greater success.
Two different players on this defense lead the team in interceptions, Tae Hayes and Clifton Duck. Both have for this season, and they make it a lot more difficult to throw against this defense.
Taylor Lamb leads the offense, throwing for 2257 yards and 21 touchdowns. He’s got an outstanding arm, completing 60.1 percent of his passes well only throwing four interceptions. The Appalachian State quarterback is smart and doesn’t make mistakes that hurt his team in the long run.
The leader in rushing is Jalin Moore who has 563 yards and six touchdowns this season. Lamb has also been impressive, gaining 428 yards and three touchdowns. He has a 6.9 yards per carry average.
Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Mountaineers Betting Lines
Everything says that Appalachian State will win this game, as they have the far superior defense, and have an offense that will be able to put up points in this game. This is a simple question of whether the Ragin’ Cajuns can have any success at slowing down the Mountaineers.
That doesn’t look to be the case in this game. Not only will the Mountaineers dominate this game, but expect them to cover the spread by at least three touchdowns. Also, look for this game to be slightly under 59.5.
My Pick: Appalachian State -15 (-110)
Totals:Under 59.5 (-110)
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