The Bulldogs and Aggies are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Aggies will host the game at Pan American Center in Las Cruces, NM. Louisiana Tech is favored by -8.5 in this Conference USA conference matchup the against New Mexico State. The over/under for the game is set at 132 points.

LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS VS NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +8.5

This game will be played at Pan American Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will New Mexico State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Louisiana Tech Lock in a Road Win?

As the Bulldogs get set to take on New Mexico State, they are 19-8 overall and have won three straight games. Louisiana Tech has been a much better team at home this season, going 10-1 compared to 6-7 on the road.

So far, the Bulldogs have been favored in 18 games this season and have gone 15-3 when favored. Their average scoring margin on the road is +4.2 compared to +10.5 at home. In their last game, Louisiana Tech defeated UTEP by a score of 65-59.

When looking at Louisiana Tech’s ATS record this season, they are currently 14-10. In their 18 games as the favorite, they have gone 11-7 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-5, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 7-3.

Today’s over/under line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in Louisiana Tech’s games this season (137.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 128 points.

The Louisiana Tech offense is coming off a game in which they scored 65 points vs. UTEP. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.6% while connecting on 8 threes. Isaiah Crawford is leading the team in scoring at 16.1 points per contest. Tahlik Chavez has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.5 going into the game.

The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 10th nationally, allowing an average of 63.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.9 threes per game vs. New Mexico State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.8%.

Will the Aggies Make it Happen at Home?

As New Mexico State prepares to take on Louisiana Tech, they find themselves as 8.5-point underdogs. So far this season, they have gone 1-16 when listed as the underdog, compared to their 6-0 record as the favorite.

For the season, New Mexico State has gone 7-3 at home, compared to their 0-13 record on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2.

As the underdog, New Mexico State has gone just 6-11 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Aggies are 5-4-1 vs. the spread and 9-13-1 overall. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, New Mexico State is just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132 for New Mexico State’s game against Louisiana Tech is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 136 points.

Compared to their season average of 68.1 points per game, New Mexico State struggled in their previous game. Against Sam Houston State, the Aggies scored 58 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 38.8%. The top scorer for the Aggies was Kaosi Ezeagu with 15 points, while Christian Cook also chipped in with 14 points.

The Aggies’ defense is presently ranked 174th nationally, allowing an average of 72.0 points per contest. So far, the New Mexico State defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.2 times per game (620th).