Looking to win big? The Warhawks and Bobcats face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bobcats are hosting the game at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points, and Texas State is favored to win by -5 at home vs. Louisiana-Monroe.


The Pick: Texas State Bobcats -5

This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bobcats.
  • Not only will Texas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can The Warhawks Secure a Road Victory?

Today, Louisiana-Monroe is an underdog, as they have been in 20 of their 27 games this season. They have a record of 6-14 when they are the underdog. So far, the Warhawks have gone 3-10 on the road, and they have lost their last two games away from home.

Overall, Louisiana-Monroe is 11-16, including a 6-10 record in Sun Belt play. In their most recent game, they lost to Troy by a score of 84-78.

As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has a record of 12-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Warhawks have an impressive ATS mark of 8-2. On the road, their ATS record is 8-5 this year and they are 6-4 ATS over their last 10 road games. In their last 3 road games, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 1-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Louisiana-Monroe games is 14-11. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (141.1). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 7-3. The average scoring total in their games this season is 142.2 points per game and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points per game.

Louisiana-Monroe is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 78 points vs. Troy. This figure is more than their season average of 70.4 points per game. The top scorer for the Warhawks was Tyreke Locure with 20 points, while Savion Gallion also added 19 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Warhawks’ defense is nationally ranked 233rd, allowing 74.3 points per game. So far, the Louisiana-Monroe defense is giving up an average of 9.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.3 times per game (629th).

Is a Home Win Possible for the Bobcats?

With a record of 12-17, Texas State has been better at home this season, going 5-6 compared to 5-11 on the road. The Bobcats have won four straight games at home, and they are 6-3 this season when favored. Their average scoring margin at home is -1.5 points per game.

Most recently, Texas State defeated Georgia State by a score of 68-59. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bobcats have gone 6-4. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of -8.0 points per game on the road.

As the favorite this season, Texas State has gone 6-3 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, the Bobcats are 3-0 ATS and they have an ATS mark of 5-6 at home this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Texas State is 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 134.5 for Texas State’s game against Louisiana-Monroe is lower than the average OU line for their games this season (137.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 145 points.

In their recent matchup, the Texas State offense ended with 68 points against Georgia State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.9% and made 5 threes. In terms of offense, the Bobcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 288th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 326th in percentage and 363rd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Bobcats’ defense is ranked 137th in the country at 70.5 points per contest. The Texas State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 59 points and allowed Georgia State to connect on 7 threes.