Planning on watching today’s Warhawks and Jaguars game? Catch the action at Mitchell Center in Mobile, AL, as the Jaguars hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 145.5 points, with South Alabama being favored by -7.5 at home against Louisiana-Monroe.


The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +7.5

This game will be played at Mitchell Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Jaguars.
  • Even though we have South Alabama winning straight-up, we like Louisiana-Monroe at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Warhawks Have a Shot at a Win at Mobile?

After losing their last game to Texas State by a score of 73-55, the Warhawks are 11-17 overall and 6-11 in Sun Belt play. They are 6-15 as the underdog this season, and they have lost two straight games.

On the road, Louisiana-Monroe is 3-11 this season, and they have lost two straight games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -12.5, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 12-9 vs. the spread this season and they have a 7-3 ATS mark in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Warhawks are 8-6 vs. the spread this year and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 road games. Over their last three road games, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 1-2 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line for Louisiana-Monroe’s games this season (140.9). This year, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 138 points.

In their most recent game, the Louisiana-Monroe offense concluded with only 55 points against Texas State. Throughout the game, they made 3/16 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 30.4%. Nika Metskhvarishvili is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Tyreke Locure brings a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.

At present, the Warhawks’ defense is nationally ranked 227th, allowing 74.2 points per game. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Texas State offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 73 points.

Will the Jaguars Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

South Alabama enters this game with a 15-15 record this season, including a 8-5 record at home. They are coming off a 73-70 win over Southern Miss.

On the year, the Jaguars have been favored in 12 of their 30 games, going 8-4 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home this year is +3.2 points per game.

South Alabama’s ATS record this season is 14-13, and they have gone 7-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Jaguars are 6-4 vs. the spread.

South Alabama’s over/under record for the season is 13-14, and their games have had an average of 149.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games (145.3). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

The South Alabama offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Southern Miss. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.5% and connected on 10 threes. Julian Margrave led the scoring for the Jaguars, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Samuel Tabe chipped in with 13 points.

Coming into the game, South Alabama will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 76.3 points per game (271st). In their most recent game, the South Alabama defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Southern Miss knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 70 points.