The Warhawks and Dukes are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dukes will host the game at Atlantic Union Bank Center in Harrisonburg, VA. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points, and the Dukes are favored to win at home vs. the Warhawks.


The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +21

This game will be played at Atlantic Union Bank Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-67 in favor of the Dukes.
  • Even though we have James Madison winning straight-up, we like Louisiana-Monroe at +21.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Warhawks Defense Show Up on the Road?

After losing their last game to Texas State by a score of 67-54, Louisiana-Monroe has an overall record of 4-11. They have lost eight straight games and are 0-5 in Sun Belt Conference play. On the road, the Warhawks have gone 1-6 this season, including a current five-game losing streak.

So far, Louisiana-Monroe has been the underdog in 10 of their 15 games, going 1-9 in those contests. As the underdog, they have an average scoring margin of -14.7 points per game. With a point spread of +21, the Warhawks will look to improve on their 1-2 record as the underdog this season.

As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 4-6 vs. the spread. On the road, the Warhawks are 4-3 ATS and 1-2 ATS in their last three road games. Overall, their ATS record is 4-9 this season.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Louisiana-Monroe’s games this year (138.7). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 131 points compared to their season average of 133.5 points per game.

The Louisiana-Monroe offense is coming off a game where they scored 54 points against Texas State. They posted a field goal percentage of 33.9% and connected on 1 three. Leading the team in scoring was Makai Willis with 11 points. Tyreese Watson also added 10 points for the Warhawks.

At this time, the Warhawks’ defense is positioned 165th in the country, permitting 72.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. James Madison. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.2%.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Dukes?

James Madison enters this game with an overall record of 15-2 and a conference record of 4-2. They are 6-1 at home this season and have an average scoring margin of +17.9 points per game at home.

As the favorite, the Dukes have gone 12-2 this season, and they are 14-3 against the spread. In their last game, they lost to Appalachian State, 59-55.

James Madison’s ATS record this season is 11-5, including a mark of 4-3 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Dukes have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for James Madison is 7-8-1 and today’s line of 144.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (153.3). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points.

In their most recent game, the James Madison offense concluded with only 55 points against Appalachian State. Throughout the game, they made 3/17 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 35.9%. Terrence Edwards was the leading scorer for the Dukes, putting up 19 points. In addition, Xavier Brown contributed 10 points.

At this time, the Dukes’ defense is positioned 120th in the country, permitting 70.1 points per game. In today’s game, the James Madison defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 59 points.