Planning on watching today’s Warhawks and Red Wolves game? Catch the action at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR, as the Red Wolves hosts this showdown at 3:30 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 149.5 points, and Arkansas State is favored by -10 vs. Louisiana-Monroe in a Sun Belt conference matchup.
LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +10
This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 3:30 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Red Wolves.
- Even though we have Arkansas State winning straight-up, we like Louisiana-Monroe at +10.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Do the Warhawks Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Although Louisiana-Monroe has struggled on the road this season, they have actually been a bit better as of late. Over their last 10 road games, the Warhawks have gone just 2-8, but they are 1-2 in their last three and 1-4 over their last five.
On the season, Louisiana-Monroe has been the underdog in 14 of their 20 games, going just 3-11 in those contests. As for their overall record, it currently sits at 7-13 after their 80-72 loss to Louisiana-Lafayette.
As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 8-6 vs. the spread. On the road, the Warhawks have an ATS mark of 7-3 and are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Overall, Louisiana-Monroe is 8-9 ATS this year.
Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Louisiana-Monroe games this season (139.6). Their over/under record this year is 9-8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and their OU record over their last five games is 5-0.
In their recent matchup, the Louisiana-Monroe offense ended with 72 points against Louisiana-Lafayette. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 55.1% and made 3 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Tyreke Locure who comes into today’s matchup averaging 9.8. Nika Metskhvarishvili also heads into the game with a PPG average of 10.5.
The Warhawks’ defense is presently ranked 208th nationally, allowing an average of 73.6 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Arkansas State, the Louisiana-Monroe defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Louisiana-Monroe made 22 free-throws vs. the Warhawks.
Can the Red Wolves Live Up to the Hype at Home?
Arkansas State is 6-2 at home this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last ten games at home. So far, they have been favored in 12 games, going 8-4 in those matchups. For the year, they have a record of 9-13, including a 6-4 mark in the Sun Belt.
They are coming off a 78-71 win over Southern Miss, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home. On the year, they have a scoring differential of +9.1 points per game at home.
Arkansas State has an overall ATS record of 12-9-1 this season, going 5-3 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Wolves have a mark of 5-5.
This season, Arkansas State has an over/under record of 10-11-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 153.4 and the average scoring total is 156.1. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is lower than the average points in their games this season, but higher than the average OU line in their games. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-1-1 and the average scoring total is 157 points.
In their recent matchup, the Arkansas State offense ended with 78 points against Southern Miss. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.8% and made 7 threes. Offensively, the Red Wolves have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 300th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 207th in percentage and 17th in three-pointers made.
As they prepare for the upcoming game, Arkansas State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.5 points per game (289th). On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.5 threes per game vs. Louisiana-Monroe. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.8%.