|331: LA MONROE
|332: FLORIDA ST
Last Updated: 2017-11-28
On Saturday, December 2, 2017, the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks travel to Doak Campbell Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles. This is a game that was originally scheduled in week two of the season, that was originally canceled due to Hurricane Irma. Because neither team is competing for their conference championship, the game has been rescheduled for this Saturday.
This is a game that Florida State simply has to win if they are going to keep alive their streak of bowl appearances. It is the primary reason why the Seminoles wanted to get this game in, as it gives them an opportunity to keep playing beyond the conclusion of the regular season for over 35 years.
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-5 against the spread this season, but have gone 2-4 in their last six against the spread. On the road, the Warhawks are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight. The total has gone over in 16 of the last 20 games that Louisiana-Monroe has played and they have gone over in nine of their last 11 road games. The Warhawks have only won three of their last 19 games on the road.
Florida State has been abysmal against the spread this season, going 2-8-1. They are only 1-4 against the spread in their last five games at home but have won 19 of their last 25 games at home.
Warhawks vs. Seminoles
Spread: Louisiana-Monroe +27 (-110); Florida State -27 (-110) at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Louisiana-Monroe +2500; Florida State -5000
Totals: Over/Under 65.5 (-110)
Louisiana-Monroe enters this game as losers of four of their last five games, including a wild 67-50 defeat against Arkansas State last weekend. It is true that the Warhawks have had success moving the ball and scoring points as they are averaging better than 36 points per game, but their defense is giving up more than 40, not a good combination against this Seminoles team.
Caleb Evans leads the Louisiana-Monroe offense, and he is quite a talent, throwing for 2616 yards with 16 touchdowns, while also rushing for 548 yards and 13 scores. He is going to have to have a huge day against Florida State if the Warhawks are going to pull off the upset. The good thing going for this offense is that Evans is smart with the ball, completing 61.6 percent of his passes while only throwing six interceptions.
While the offense should have some success against Florida State, this Louisiana-Monroe defense is in for a long day. They are giving up an average of 534.6 yards per game in offense, and that is not even against top-flight competition. Their best hope is that the offense is able to remain on the field for 30+ minutes in this game to shield their deficiencies.
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES
With wins over Delaware State and an upset victory over Florida last weekend, the Seminoles surprisingly find themselves in a position to get into a bowl game. This is a contest that they should easily win, which would make them bowl eligible with their sixth victory of the season.
The statistics for Florida State are not particularly impressive, but against this Louisiana-Monroe team they should have a great deal of success and moving the football. Since becoming the primary running back, Cam Akers has been dominant, rushing now for 813 yards and five touchdowns this season. He is averaging 5.0 yards per carry, and backup Jacques Patrick is averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Patrick has gained 532 yards on the ground this year.
The one person who should greatly benefit from this game is quarterback James Blackman. Blackman has thrown for 1800 yards and 14 touchdowns, only averaging 163.6 yards per contest on average, but expect him to have a 300-yard game if the coaching staff chooses to allow him to air it out.
There is no doubt that the Seminoles defense will have to bring their A-game to this contest, as Evans can be quite a challenge to be able to limit his success. Expect Florida State to use one of their safeties as a spy who continually monitors the quarterback to limit his ability to scramble.
Warhawks vs. Seminoles Betting Lines
This should be a game that Florida State absolutely dominates from start to finish. The Warhawks may have some success in moving the ball and should score a couple of touchdowns in this game, but their defense is going to get lit up. While 27 points is a lot, it’s not against this Louisiana-Monroe defense. Take the Seminoles to cover the points but expect the total to be under 65.5.
My Pick: Florida State -27 (-110)
Totals: Under 65.5 (-110)