In a display of two schools that prefer to keep the ball on the ground, Head Coach Matt Viator and the Louisiana-monroe Warhawks (+22) are facing off against their in-conference counterpart Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Cajun Field. The matchup gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPNU.
Louisiana-Monroe vs. Louisiana Betting Odds 11/30/2019
Louisiana is heavily favored in this one and is currently giving up 22 points to Louisiana-Monroe. The over/under is set at 67 points. Multiple good live betting possibilities may be unveiled during the contest.
The opening line was -21 while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 67.
The Warhawks are 5-6 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against SBC opponents. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 9-2 SU overall and 6-1 SU in conference play. The Warhawks are down 1.0 unit so far in 2019 and 3-8 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 6-4-1.
The surprising Ragin’ Cajuns are up 4.0 units this season. The team is 9-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-6.
The Warhawks are coming off a 45-42 win over Coastal Carolina last week where Caleb Evans completed 19-of-33 passes for 346 yards, two scores and one interception. Josh Johnson (129 yards on 19 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Evans (69 yards on nine carries, one TD) led the running attack. Zach Jackson (four receptions, 72 yards, one TD) and Jonathan Hodoh (four catches, 47 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Louisiana is coming off of a 53-3 win over Troy. The defense let the Trojans run for 156 yards on 35 rush attempts. DK Billingsley was a bright spot in the loss for Troy, recording 68 rushing yards on 10 attempts, along with 37 yards on two catches. As a group, the Ragin’ Cajuns collectively completed 28-of-40 passes for 344 yards and one touchdown. Levi Lewis went 21-for-33 for 273 yards and one touchdown while Jaiave Magalei was six-of-six for 71 yards. Trey Ragas (79 rushing yards on 11 attempts, two TDs) and Raymond Calais (61 yards on seven carries, one TD) handled the running game as Ja’Marcus Bradley (five receptions, 96 yards, one TD) and Jarrod Jackson (four catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Louisiana-Monroe has run the ball on 52.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisiana has a rush percentage of 59.2 percent. The Warhawks have run for 205 yards/game (including 184 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 27 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Ragin’ Cajuns are totaling 276 rush yards per contest (249 in conference) and have 39 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Ragin’ Cajuns might have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has generated 6.6 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Warhawks have rushed for 5.4 yards per carry while allowing 5.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Warhawks have logged 246 yards per contest through the air overall (250 per game against conference opposition) and have 19 passing scores so far. The Ragin’ Cajuns have produced 222 pass yards per game (211.3 in the SBC) and have 18 total pass TDs.
Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to run for an average of 252 yards and throw for 227 yards per game. Louisiana has been significantly better than that, allowing 166.2 rushing yards per game and 185.5 to opponents in the air. The Ragin’ Cajuns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.62 to opponents, while the Warhawks have allowed a 7.27 ANY/A.
Evans is up to 2,324 passing yards this season. He’s completed 195-of-316 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Evans has a 6.90 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.74 over the last two games.
Josh Johnson (1,146 rushing yards, 11 rush TDs this season), Markis McCray (512 receiving yards, five receiving TDs) and Jonathan Hodoh (316 receiving yards, two TDs) have all played significant roles lately.
Levi Lewis has recorded 2,044 yards, 15 TDs and three INTs for Louisiana. His ANY/A stands at 8.06 for the year and 7.05 over his past two outings.
We’re expecting the Ragin’ Cajuns to dictate the game’s clock by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Backfield mates Elijah Mitchell (788 rush yards, 13 rush TDs), Raymond Calais (634 rush yards, five rush TDs, one receiving TD), and Trey Ragas (696 rush yards, 10 rush TDs, one TD) have really been key factors in the Louisiana offense.
These two teams met last year with the final outcome being a 31-28 victory for Louisiana.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns NCAA Tip
SU Winner – Louisiana, ATS Winner – Louisiana-Monroe, O/U – Under
Team Betting Trends
The Louisiana offense has lost eight fumbles this season while Louisiana-Monroe has let six get away.
The Louisiana defense has tallied 24 sacks on the year while Louisiana-Monroe has just 18.
Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 5.3 yards per rush attempt across its past three outings and 4.5 over its last two.
Louisiana has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.2 over its past two.
In its last three matches, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Louisiana-Monroe’s last game was set at 63.5. The over cashed in the team’s 45-42 victory over Coastal Carolina.
In its last three matches, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Louisiana’s last game going into it was 74. The under cashed in the 53-3 victory over Troy.
Louisiana has won 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a -10-point defeat to Appalachian State on October 9th representing its only loss over that stretch.