A six-game home winning streak is on the line for the Philadelphia 76ers (29-17) when they meet the Los Angeles Lakers (36-9) at Wells Fargo Center. Los Angeles is a 4.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points. Action begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020.
Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers Odds Preview
In the Lakers’ last game, they defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 128-113, comfortably covering as 5.5-point favorites. With 27 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists, LeBron James led the way for Los Angeles with his ninth triple-double this year. Los Angeles played a perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (above their season average of 24.6) and a free throw rate of 0.160 (below their season average of 0.195). For those same stats, Brooklyn put up marks of 16.3 and 0.132, respectively. The two teams combined to score 241 points, which was over the projected point total of 230.
The 76ers are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs in their 107-95 loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last contest. With 17 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists, Philadelphia’s Ben Simmons had a good outing. Toronto’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Philadelphia. The Raptors had a rate of 17.8 (below their season average of 22.2), while the 76ers posted a mark of 15.1 (below their season average of 23.9). The two squads collectively scored 202 points, which finished under the projected point total of 215.
Points could be at a premium as two of the league’s premier defenses go head-to-head. Philadelphia ranks fourth in defensive efficiency (103.8) and Los Angeles is third (103.5). Also, the Lakers rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.6 percent), while the 76ers rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.7 percent).
Of Los Angeles’ 45 games, 23 have finished under the O/U total, while 22 of Philadelphia’s 46 games have finished over the projected point total. The Lakers come into this game with considerably better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 36-9 SU and 24-20-1 ATS, while the 76ers are 29-17 SU and 21-22-3 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Lakers, it’s been Dwight Howard, who has averaged 13 rebounds,10.0 points,1.2 blocks, while the 76ers have gotten great contributions from Simmons (24 points,10.0 rebounds,8.2 assists,2.0 steals).
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after the 76ers won both meetings last season. In the last contest, Philadelphia won 143-120. The 76ers dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 6.2 and a free throw rate of 0.196. The Lakers were 13.6 and 0.151, respectively, for those same stats.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Los Angeles ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd (16.4).
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.3) while Philadelphia ranks seventh (5.8).
The 76ers rank third in assists per game (26.4) while the Lakers rank seventh (25.9).
Philadelphia is 12-8-2 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 13-11 ATS on the road.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, up from 3.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (9.4 above their season average).