The Boston Celtics (8-2), the NBA’s top scoring defense and 9-point favorites, will take on the Los Angeles Lakers (5-5) at TD Garden. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208 points and it will air on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 8, 2017.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Boston Celtics Betting Odds
Both teams beat in their last game. The Celtics defeated the Orlando Magic 104-88, while the Lakers beat the Memphis Grizzlies 107-102.
Los Angeles dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.212 (above their season average of 0.186) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.5 (above their season average of 18.9). For those same stats, Memphis was 0.126 and 13.6, respectively. Meanwhile, Boston’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Orlando. The Celtics had a rate of 0.500 (below their season average of 0.509), while the Magic posted a mark of 0.396 (below their season average of 0.552). Boston received a boost from Marcus Smart, who finished with 11 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. Kyle Kuzma had a good outing for Los Angeles, finishing with 13 points and 12 rebounds.
Boston figures to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Celtics currently rank first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.470), while Los Angeles is 16th in effective field goal percentage (0.514). This contest should be a battle of contrasting paces. The up-tempo Lakers rank second in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Celtics rank 29th.
Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Lakers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 5-5 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Celtics have a tendency to finish under the total (63.6 percent). Additionally, Boston is 8-2 SU and 9-2 ATS.
The Celtics dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last game, Boston won 115-95. The Celtics’ 17.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Lakers, who had a rate of 13.0. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over
The Celtics rank ninth in assists per game (22.8) while the Lakers rank 14th in assists allowed per game (22.0).
Los Angeles ranks first in points in the paint per game (56.4) while Boston ranks 25th (39.2).
The Celtics rank third in fast break points allowed per game (7.5) while the Lakers rank 22nd (12.8).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.5) while Boston ranks 23rd (3.9).
Boston ranks third in rebounds per game (48.0) while Los Angeles ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
The Celtics rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Lakers rank 27th (21.0).
The Celtics rank third in three pointers allowed per game (25.3) while the Lakers rank 19th (31.0).
Boston ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (9.2) while Los Angeles ranks eighth (11.2).
Boston ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.2) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (9.4).
When holding opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 2-1 and Boston is 8-0.
The Celtics are 6-1 when they score more than 100 points, while the Lakers are 5-2.
Los Angeles is 2-1 ATS on the road, while Boston is 3-1 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 2 of the Lakers’ 3 road games, while 3 of the Celtics’ 4 home games have gone over.
In their last five games, Los Angeles and Boston are both 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Lakers have outscored opponents by an average of 3.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Los Angeles has been defeated by an average of 0.8 points.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 90.4 points per game (2.8 below their season average).
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