The Atlanta Hawks (18-38) welcome the Los Angeles Lakers (28-28) to State Farm Arena as they attempt to put an end to their five-game home losing streak. Los Angeles opened as a 5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 236 points. Action starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds Preview
In the Lakers’ last matchup, they got blown out by the Philadelphia 76ers, 143-120. They were not able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. With 39 points on 14-for-21 shooting, Kyle Kuzma was the game’s leading scorer. Philadelphia had a turnover percentage of 6.2 (better than their season average of 13.3). Los Angeles, meanwhile, held the 76ers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.1 (below their season average of 24.2). The two teams combined to score 263 points, which was well over the O/U total of 234.5.
The Hawks are hoping to rebound after failing to cover as 1-point underdogs in their 124-108 loss to the Orlando Magic in their last outing. With 13 points, seven assists and five rebounds, Trae Young played well for Atlanta. Orlando won the rebounding battle. The Magic had 11 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Hawks had five and 33, respectively. Combined, the two squads scored 232 points, which was over the O/U total of 224.5.
There should be plenty of transition offense in this contest that features a pair of the NBA’s more fast-paced teams. Atlanta ranks third in possessions per game (106.1) and Los Angeles is second (106.1).
These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games involving Los Angeles have finished under 58.9 percent of the time, while 57.1 percent of Atlanta games have gone over. The Lakers have the better straight up (SU) record (28-28 vs. 18-38), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Los Angeles is 24-30-2 ATS, while Atlanta is 24-32 ATS.
These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 213 points, well under the projected point total of 236.5. The Lakers won 107-106, but were unable to cover as 11-point favorites. Los Angeles’ free throw rate was their largest strength over Atlanta. The Lakers had a rate of 0.163, while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.116. LeBron James scored a game-high 26 points.
Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (56.3) while the Hawks rank 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.5).
Los Angeles ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.1) while Atlanta ranks 19th (45.0).
Atlanta averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Los Angeles ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
Los Angeles averages 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Atlanta ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
Los Angeles is 14-14 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 7-17 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 15 of the Lakers’ 28 road games, while 14 of the Hawks’ 24 home games have gone over.
When allowing less than 100 points, Atlanta is 3-2 and Los Angeles is 7-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Hawks are 17-31 and the Lakers are 27-22.
The Hawks rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.0) while the Lakers rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
Los Angeles averages 18.9 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Atlanta ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (17.8).
The Hawks average 17.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Lakers rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
The Hawks rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (34.8) while the Lakers rank 19th (30.3).
Los Angeles averages 24.9 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (27.6).
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 7.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 128.4 points per game (15.0 above their season average).