Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/18/24

From Citi Field in New York, we have the Dodgers and Mets facing off in an NL matchup. The Dodgers are favored on the money line (-139) and have a record of 98-64, while the Mets are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 89-73.
First pitch for this one is set for 5:08 PM ET, and FS1 will be televising the game. Jack Flaherty will go for the Dodgers, while the Mets are starting David Peterson. Los Angeles is currently on a five-game winning streak.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -139
This game will be played at Citi Field at 5:08 ET on Friday, October 18th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS METS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
Los Angeles cruised to a 10-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 8th inning, scoring three runs in the 1st and adding seven more in the 2nd. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -132 on the money line.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto only went 4 1/3 innings for the Dodgers but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks. Evan Phillips got the win out of the bullpen. Jose Quintana had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.
Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani each homered for the Dodgers, while Mark Vientos went deep for the Mets. Betts, Tommy Edman, and Enrique Hernandez each had two hits and three RBIs for Los Angeles’ offense.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Leading their series against the Mets 3-1, the Dodgers are on the road for game five. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, going 52-29 at home and 46-35 on the road. They’ve won five straight games overall and three in a row on the road. As favorites, they went 97-54 this season.
Los Angeles posted an 88-83 run line record this year, including 45-40 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in four consecutive road games. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.4 total runs, while today’s over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 97-69, with the over hitting in their last four games.
Jack Flaherty has made 28 starts this season, and he comes into the game with a record of 13-7 and an ERA of 3.17. For the year, he has pitched 162 innings and has a WHIP of 1.07. Flaherty’s last outing came on October 13th vs. the Mets, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. In that outing, he gave up six hits and two walks. Looking back further, he has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings. Flaherty has a total of 24 homers allowed this season.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force in the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .310 with a league-leading 130 RBIs and 54 home runs, which is also the best mark in the league. Ohtani has gone deep twice in his past five games, but he is just 4/18 in that stretch. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 33 homers and is batting .272.
Los Angeles comes into the game with the league’s best OPS and slugging percentage, while also leading the league in isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest.
Mets Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game five, the Mets are looking to avoid elimination as they trail the Dodgers 3-1 in this series. New York finished the regular season with an 89-73 record, including a 46-35 mark at home and 43-38 on the road. The Mets have lost two straight games at home and as the underdog.
New York’s run line record for the season is 89-84, and they’ve dropped their last two at home against the run line. As favorites, their run line record is 46-53, while they’re 43-31 as underdogs. The Mets’ games have averaged 9 runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. The over has hit in four consecutive games for New York.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Dodgers. This year, he has made 21 starts, and his record is 10-3 with a 2.90 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.29. In his last outing, he went 2 1/3 innings out of the bullpen, giving up two earned runs, three hits, and one homer. Before that outing, he hadn’t given up a homer in three straight appearances. Peterson has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.51 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has given up eight homers at home and 3.42 walks per nine innings.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a great 1-2 punch for the Mets this season, as they are the team’s top two home run hitters and have combined for 179 RBIs. Lindor is batting .273 for the season and has gone deep 33 times, which is 11th in the league. Alonso is just ahead of him in the team’s home run race and is batting .240 overall. Over his last nine games, Mark Vientos is batting .368 with four homers and 10 RBIs.
Overall, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246 and have the 6th best home run total in the league.