Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will showcase this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Los Angeles (-130) is favored over Cincinnati (+120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +115 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -135 for the Reds +1.5.

The Dodgers are 29-16 SU and are 20-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.7 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, despite having lost 1.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 20-24 SU and 25-18 ATS. The team’s lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.5 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Reds games have a 15-27-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 22-21-2.

Left-hander Rich Hill is projected to start for Los Angeles. Hill (0-1, 4.20 ERA) has racked up 14 punchouts in 15 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 3.18 ERA and four strikeouts over 5.2 innings).

The Reds will turn to righty Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 4.17 ERA), who has 46 strikeouts and 14 walks, along with a 1.22 WHIP. DeSclafani only made one start against the Dodgers in 2018 (0-1, 9.64 ERA and five strikeouts across 4.2 innings).

Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.17 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 8.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.03.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .255/.347/.453 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who’ve collectively belted 21 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .401/.481/.770 with 15 home runs, 41 RBIs, 38 runs and seven stolen bases, while Turner (.289/.386/.443) is up to six homers, 21 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 3.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.7.

The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .271/.314/.441 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Reds’ hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .270/.350/.579 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .294/.329/.434 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 16 runs.

The Dodgers have gained 8.3 units and are 15-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 1.9 units and are 7-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in three of those games, compared to five that went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

Cincinnati has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 12 over their last 10.

The Dodgers have a total OPS of .800 this season and an OPS of .810 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .688 overall and .660 versus righties.

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