Last Updated: 2017-10-19
The Chicago Cubs will look to stay alive in the National League Championship Series, as they host the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 5 on Thursday night on TBS. The Cubs finally got a little bit of offense on Wednesday and won Game 4 by a score of 3-2 but they still trail the series 3-1 and now they have to deal with Clayton Kershaw on Thursday night. The Cubs are expected to counter with Jose Quintana. Let’s look at the contest and MLB picks.
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Chicago Cubs on Thursday, October 19 in Game 5 of the National League Championship Series, with a start time of 8:08 pm Eastern on TBS.
Los Angeles -160, total 7 over
Dodgers vs. Cubs
The Dodgers were almost as good on the road during the regular season, as the Cubs were at home as Los Angeles went 47-34 on the road, while the Cubs were 48-33 at home. The Dodgers were a slight under team on the road in the regular season with 38 games going over, 41 going under, with two pushes and the Dodgers have gone under in all three of their playoff road games this season.
The Cubs were more of an over team at home during the regular season, with 44 games going over, 34 going under, with three pushes but in the playoffs, all four of their home games have gone under.
Probable Pitching Matchup – Kershaw vs. Quintana
The Dodgers will turn to their ace, Kershaw on Thursday night. Kershaw went 18-4 during the regular season with a 2.31 ERA but he has not been nearly as good in the playoffs. He has thrown 11.1 innings and allowed six earned runs. He gave two runs and four hits in Game 1 of this series in five innings.
Quintana went 11-11 in the regular season with a 4.15 ERA. He has thrown 11.1 innings in the playoffs and given up just two earned runs. He gave up two runs and two hits in five innings in Game 1of this series.
The Dodgers are 5-17 in their last 22 games following a loss. The Dodgers are 2-9 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
The Under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 road games. The Under is 6-0 in the Cubs last 6 playoff home games. The Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Chicago. One interesting stat on the umpire in this contest is that the Over is 39-19-3 in Welke’s last 61 games behind home plate.
The Cubs finally got a little offense going on Wednesday and Kershaw hasn’t been that dominant in the postseason. The question in this game is how well Quintana pitches for Chicago. He isn’t a pitcher who normally goes deep into games, as in his last 15 starts he has pitched more than 6 innings just twice. The Cubs bullpen other than Wade Davis is a disaster, and it is very unlikely Davis pitches on Thursday after going two innings on Thursday, so the Cubs figure to give up runs late. I will take the Dodgers and also play the game over the total.