The Red Sox (69-61, 36-29 home) will host the Dodgers (79-49, 36-28 away) in game three of this interleague series. Starting for the Red Sox is Tanner Houck, while the Dodgers are giving the ball to Caleb Ferguson. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -120
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 27th.
WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS:
- Over their last five games on the road, Los Angeles has a straight-up record of 3-2.
- Looking at the Dodgers’ last five games as the underdog, they are just 2-3.
- The Red Sox’s are just 6-8 in Tanner Houck’s 14 starts.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS LOOKING TO EXTEND NL WEST LEAD
Los Angeles comes into the game with an above .500 series record on the road at 13-7. Currently, the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with an overall record of 79-49. Against the runline, they are 71-57 and have an over/under mark of 72-50. On the road, Los Angeles has a runline record of 38-26.
Caleb Ferguson has been a reliable starter for the Dodgers this season, boasting an impressive 7-3 record. He has made 54 appearances and his ERA stands at 2.81, with a K/9 of 10.12. His FIP is 3.58 and OBP is .350, making him a valuable contributor to the team’s success.
Caleb Ferguson’s last outing saw him give up no runs on one hit in a single inning of work. Despite this, the Dodgers emerged victorious in their 9-3 win over the Guardians, and Ferguson avoided a loss.
Across their last ten games, the Dodgers’ offense is 10th in batting average, leading to an average of 4.7 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 3rd ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .793 on 198 (2nd).
Mookie Betts has been a force at the plate for Los Angeles this season, boasting a .312 batting average and .605 slugging percentage. Over the last ten games, Betts has been on fire, leading the team in hits and batting an impressive .537.
WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Boston heads into today’s game ranked 4th in the AL East on an overall record of 69-61. The Red Sox have won two straight series at home and have an overall home record of 36-29. Against the runline, their overall record is 68-62, including going 34-31 vs. the runline at home. When looking at their over/under mark, the Red Sox are 68-60.
Boston Red Sox pitcher Tanner Houck has posted a 3-7 record and 5.08 ERA through the 2023 season thus far. His ERA on the road is 4.67, while his home ERA stands at 5.63. Houck’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and he has allowed a .244 batting average against him. Opposing teams have compiled a .391 slugging percentage against him.
Tanner Houck was handed the loss after surrendering three runs on four hits in his most recent start against the Astros. The Red Sox were ultimately defeated 7-3.
Having gone deep 10 times in their last five games, the Red Sox are 2nd in that span. At 5 runs per game, Boston is 6th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .266 while hitting a total of 154 home runs (14th).
Adam Duvall has been a major contributor to the Red Sox’s offensive success this season, as he leads the team with 15 home runs and has hit four in their last ten games. His overall batting average stands at .267.