Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Betting Pick 09/24/19

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Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers will head west to face their NL West foe San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Spectrum SportsNet LA to catch the game.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds

Los Angeles (-185) is favored over San Diego (+175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. There’s a runline of Dodgers -1.5 (-130) and Padres +1.5 (+110) for this matchup.

The Padres are 70-86 straight up (SU) and 72-84 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.5 units for moneyline bettors and 21.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Dodgers have gone 100-56 SU this year and are 75-81 ATS. They’re up 11.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 8.9 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Neither side has been an obvious over/under play this year. San Diego games have an over/under record of 74-74-8 in 2019. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 72-74-10.

The southpaw Rich Hill is the projected starter for Los Angeles. Hill (4-1, 2.68 ERA) has recorded 63 strikeouts in 53.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are handing the ball to Ronald Bolanos (0-1, 5.79 ERA), who has 11 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Bolanos hasn’t faced the Dodgers yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.68, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 70 games against divisional foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.33 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.

San Diego’s hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .190/.275/.313 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .273/.319/.433 with 21 home runs, 97 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .251/.331/.452 with 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.15 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 9.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K-per-9 of 9.41.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .258/.340/.472 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ offensive production has been powered by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who’ve collectively swatted 73 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .302/.404/.628 with 46 home runs, 114 RBIs, 118 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Turner is slashing .290/.369/.511 with 27 homers, 67 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 5.1 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

San Diego has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.6 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.