At 1:00 ET, the Chargers and Packers square off at Lambeau Field in a week 11 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to FOX with the game being played on Sunday, November 19th. Los Angeles arrives for this non-conference game against the Packers as the 3 point road favorite. Keep reading to find out my insights and suggestions for your bets.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Green Bay Packers +3
This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 19th.
WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 24-21 in favor of the Chargers.
- Our projections have Justin Herbert finishing with 283.083 passing yards on 23.145/37.347 passing.
- The Chargers are projected to finish with 350 yards of offense compared to the 328 yards for the Packers.
Can the Chargers Deliver Being Favored on the Road?
In the AFC-West standings, the Chargers find themselves in 3rd place with a record of 4-5. In the AFC, Los Angeles is in 12th place as week 11 approaches. In terms of the spread, the Chargers hold a record of 4-5. This has come on an average scoring margin of +2.7.
The Chargers’ offense has performing well in the first half of game, averaging 13.0 points. Their overall offensive numbers of 26.6 is 6th in the NFL. Los Angeles is presently 7th in passing attempts, with an average of 6.9 yards per attempt (9). Their 249.1 passing yards per game also place them 8th in the league.
On the ground, the Chargers have carried the ball an average of 26.2 times per game and currently rank 21st in rushing yards. Their average rushing yards per attempt is 3.6.
On defense, the Chargers are giving up an average of 291.2 passing yards per game and 102.0. In terms of sacks, Los Angeles is 3rd among other defenses and they are giving up 23.9 points per game and 393.2 yards.
No Pressure for Green Bay as Home Dogs
The Packers’ week 11 matchup vs. Los Angeles will be their 5th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 2-2 and are 3-6 overall. In the NFC-North, Green Bay is 3rd and 11th in the NFC. The Packers’ scoring margin for the season is currently -0.3. This has contributed to their ATS record of 4-5.
Coming into week 11, the Packers offense is 19th in the league at 19.9 points per contest. Among the other teams in the league Green Bay ranks 19th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 208.9. Their passing yards per attempt, 6.2, places them at 16.
On a per-attempt basis, the Packers average 4 yards while carrying the ball an average of 24.9 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 20th in the league.
The Packers defense takes on the Chargers having given up an average of 20.2 points per game. So far, they are 14th in quarterback hits and are giving up 320.6 yards per contest.