At 3:05 PM ET, the Los Angeles Angels take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. The Orioles are the favorites in this AL matchup, with a money line of -192 compared to the Angels’ +159.

Patrick Sandoval is on the mound for the Angels, while Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at -117 and the under at -103.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 3:05 ET on Thursday, March 28th.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS ORIOLES:

  • We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Angels Records & Stats

Coming off a season in which they missed the playoffs, the Angels are looking to improve on their 73-89 record from last year. In the American League, Los Angeles finished in 12th place and 4th in the AL West. Against division opponents, the Angels went 22-30.

When playing at home, the Angels were 38-43 compared to 35-46 on the road. In day games, Los Angeles went 27-25 compared to 46-64 in night games. As the underdog, the Angels were 35-52 last season.

Last season, the Angels were the underdog in 53.7% of their games, going 47-40 vs. the run line in those contests. On the road, they were the underdog in 72.8% of their games, going 30-29 vs. the run line. For the season, their run line record was 75-87, including 40-41 on the road. In games they won, their average run margin was +3.1 runs per game, compared to -3.6 runs per game in losses.

When looking at last year’s over/under record for the Angels, they finished with an O/U record of 84-74. On average, their games had an O/U line of 8.8 runs, and 88.3% of their games had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs. Last year, their games averaged a combined 9.7 runs per game, and in games with an O/U line of 7.5, the O/U record was 10-7. Overall, 64.2% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made 28 starts, Patrick Sandoval finished with a record of 7-13 and an ERA of 4.11. His WHIP for the season was 1.51, and he allowed a batting average of .253. Sandoval’s FIP for the season was 4.18, and he finished the year with eight quality starts. On the season, he averaged 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.6 walks per game.

At home last season, the Angels were 28th in batting average (.228) and 27th in on-base percentage (.299). However, they were 5th in isolated power at home and hit 231 home runs overall, which was 4th in the league. On the road, the Angels were 7th in batting average (.248) and 8th in slugging percentage (.411). Overall, they were 15th in runs per game at 4.5.

Brandon Drury is the Angels’ top returning home run hitter after hitting 26 last season. He also finished with a slugging percentage of .497 and batted .262. Mike Trout hit 18 home runs last season and batted .263. Aaron Hicks is the team’s top off season addition after hitting 8 home runs and batting .253 for the Orioles last season.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles were the top team in the American League last season, finishing with a record of 101-61. In the AL East, they also claimed the top spot. In the post-season, Baltimore was swept by the Rangers in the ALDS.

At home, the Orioles were 49-32 last season, while they went 52-29 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore went 55-27, compared to 46-34 as the underdog. In day games, the Orioles were 36-22 last season.

When looking at the Orioles’ run line record last season, they finished with a mark of 96-66. At home, their run line record was 39-42 compared to 57-24 on the road. In games they won, their average scoring margin was +3.4 runs per game compared to -3.5 runs per game in losses. For the season, their average scoring margin was +0.8 runs per game. In the games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.3 runs per game compared to -2.9 runs per game in games they did not cover.

When looking at the Orioles’ over/under record from last season, they finished 81-72, and their average over/under line was 8.6 runs. In games with an O/U line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 8-7. Last year, 61.7% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs, and their games averaged a combined 9.2 runs per contest. On the season, 90.1% of their games had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.

Corbin Burnes is coming off a season in which he made 32 starts for the Orioles, going 10-8 with a 3.39 ERA. His WHIP for the season was 1.07, and he allowed a batting average of .196. Burnes made 19 quality starts and gave up a total of 22 home runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 3.0, and he averaged 2.1 walks per game.

Despite being just 16th in home runs last season, the Orioles were still a top-10 offense in terms of runs per game at 5.0 (7th). On the road, they were even better, averaging 5.5 runs per game (4th). Overall, Baltimore’s batting average was 8th in the league at .255, and they were 12th in strikeouts. At home, their on-base percentage was just 23rd in the league, compared to 12th on the road.

The Orioles will be looking to Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson to provide some power in the lineup this season. Santander hit 28 home runs last season and finished with a slugging percentage of .472. Henderson also hit 28 home runs and drove in 82 runs. Adley Rutschman led the team in hits last season and finished with a batting average of .277. Tony Kemp is a new addition to the team and hit .209 last season.