Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins Free Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

Andrelton Simmons and the Los Angeles Angels are preparing to take on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. This AL matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins Odds

Los Angeles (getting +130) is entering this game as the underdog to Minnesota (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). This game currently has a runline of Angels +1.5 (-170) and Twins -1.5 (+150).

The Twins are 26-15 straight up (SU) and 22-18 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 3.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Angels have gone 20-22 SU this year and are 24-17 against the spread. They’re down 1.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have gained 8.0 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Twins games have an over/under record of 20-19-1 thus far in 2019. The Angels have an over/under record of 17-21-3.

Trevor Cahill will get the start for the visiting Angels. The right-handed Cahill is 2-3 with a 6.35 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-2 record with an 8.64 ERA and seven strikeouts.

The Twins will turn to righty Jake Odorizzi (5-2, 2.32 ERA), who’s got 43 punchouts and 15 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.94. Odorizzi did not register a start against the Angels in 2018.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 3.62 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .264/.344/.477 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Twins’ offense has been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .327/.395/.614 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .247/.285/.532 with 13 homers, 33 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.86 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.82, along with a K/9 of 9.92.

Angels hitters have slashed .251/.330/.426 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ offense has been sparked by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and left fielder David Fletcher. Simmons is hitting .310/.333/.435 with three home runs, 21 RBIs, 20 runs and five stolen bases, while Fletcher is hitting .295/.340/.439 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

The Angels have gained 6.5 units and are 17-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 12.9 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

The Angels have a total OPS of .757 this season and an OPS of .788 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .825 overall and .831 against righties.

Los Angeles has recorded 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.6 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 18 over their last 10.

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