Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Free Pick 09/20/19

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David Fletcher and the Los Angeles Angels will head east to square off against their divisional nemesis Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the game.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Odds

Vegas has listed Houston (-340) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+270). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over nine runs and +100 for under nine. There’s a runline of Angels +1.5 (+135) and Astros -1.5 (-155) for this matchup.

The Astros are 100-53 straight up (SU) and 82-71 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, gaining 4.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.4 units ATS. The Angels, on the other hand, have gone 69-84 SU this year and are 75-77 against the spread. They’ve lost 18.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.0 units ATS.

Houston games have had an over/under record of 68-80-5 in 2019. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 72-69-11.

The right-handed Jaime Barria is projected to start for Los Angeles. Barria is 4-9 with a 5.95 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Houston this year.

The Astros will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Greinke (16-5, 2.95 ERA), who has 174 strikeouts and 29 walks as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Greinke is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.63, a WHIP of 1.09 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.51.

Houston’s offense has put up 5.7 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .263/.368/.509 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel have led the way for the Astros’ hitters this year. Brantley is hitting .318/.379/.510 with 21 home runs, 86 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Gurriel’s line sits at .304/.349/.553 with 30 homers, 102 RBIs and 82 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.55 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.72, along with a K/9 of 9.12.

The Angels offense has slashed .249/.329/.426 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been paced by David Fletcher and Mike Trout. Fletcher is slashing .290/.350/.385 with five home runs, 46 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Trout is slashing .291/.438/.645 with 45 homers, 104 RBIs and 110 runs scored.

The Angels have lost 8.3 units and are 51-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 8.5 units and are 58-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 53 that went under the total.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just one of Houston’s last seven games.

The Angels have an OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .758 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .851 overall and .832 versus righties.

Houston has recorded 29.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.

The Angels have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 28 over their last 10.

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