Last Updated: 2019-08-25
Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the struggling Los Angeles Angels at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup. The opening pitch will be at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Odds
The Astros are 84-47 straight up (SU) and 68-62 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 1.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.1 units ATS. Houston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Angels are 63-69 SU and have gone 67-64 against the spread. They’ve lost 11.6 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Houston games have an over/under record of 57-68-5 in 2019. The Angels have been a decent over bet with a total record of 64-57-10.
Jaime Barria will get the nod for Los Angeles. The right-handed Barria is 4-6 with a 6.35 ERA and 55 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Houston this year. He made four starts against the Astros in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record against them with a 2.57 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Astros will put the ball in the left hand of Framber Valdez (3-6, 5.58 ERA), who has 45 punchouts and 26 walks this season as well as a 1.58 WHIP. Valdez is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.
As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.2. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 56 games against AL West foes, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.20.
The Houston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .275/.366/.513 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Astros’ offense has been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Brantley is slashing .337/.395/.546 with 19 home runs, 80 RBIs and 80 runs scored, and Gurriel is batting .306 with 26 homers, 91 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.45 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.37.
The Angels offense has slashed .254/.333/.435 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by David Fletcher and Mike Trout, who have combined to swat 47 home runs. Fletcher is hitting .290/.349/.400 with five home runs, 42 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Trout is hitting .293/.435/.649 with 42 homers, 99 RBIs and 103 runs scored.
The Angels have lost 12.7 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 8.9 units and are 49-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
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The over has hit in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
The Angels have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 16 over their last 10.
The Angels have an OPS of .768 this season, including an OPS of .744 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .839 overall and .895 against lefties.
Houston has recorded 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
The Angels have lost five of their last six games SU while the Astros have taken six of their last seven.