The Lancers and Spartans are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Spartans will host the game at Hodge Center in Spartanburg, SC. The Lancers are favored in this Big South conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 136 points.
LONGWOOD LANCERS VS USC UPSTATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: USC Upstate Spartans +5.5
This game will be played at Hodge Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 17th.
WHY BET THE USC UPSTATE SPARTANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-67 in favor of the Spartans.
- Not only will USC Upstate pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.
Will Longwood Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
Longwood comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 12 of their 19 games this season. The Lancers are 10-2 when favored, compared to 0-4 as the underdog.
Overall, Longwood is 13-6, but they have lost their last two games. On the road, the Lancers have gone 4-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is +3.7 points per game.
As the favorite this season, Longwood has gone 7-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lancers have a mark of 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, Longwood is 5-4 ATS this year and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.
Longwood’s over/under record for the season is 7-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 137.4. Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (140.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points and their over/under record during this span is 0-3.
Compared to their season average of 75.4 points per game, Longwood struggled in their previous game. Against UNC Asheville, the Lancers scored 61 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.3%. The top scorer for the Lancers was Michael Christmas with 13 points, while Walyn Napper also chipped in with 13 points.
Longwood’s defense has been playing well, ranking 18th nationally, with 63.1 points allowed per game. The Longwood defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 65 points and allowed UNC Asheville to connect on 5 threes.
Can USC Upstate Secure a Home Victory?
USC Upstate has struggled this season, as they have lost six games in a row and have a 5-11 record overall. The Spartans are 0-3 in Big South play and 0-3 at home this season. Their average scoring margin at home is -8.7 points per game.
As for Longwood, they have a 2-11 record as the underdog this season. In their last game, the Lancers lost to Charleston Southern by a score of 77-70. So far, USC Upstate has gone 7-3 in their last ten home games.
As the underdog this season, USC Upstate has an ATS record of 5-8. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Spartans have gone 3-7 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 1-2 this year and 5-2 in their last 10 games.
So far this season, the over/under record for USC Upstate games sits at 6-7. The average scoring total in their games is 144.5 points, which is 1.8 points higher than the average OU line of 142.7. Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 156 points.
In their previous game, the Spartans’ offense finished with 70 points, which is right in line with their current average of 72.2 points per contest. The top scorer for the Spartans was Trae Broadnax with 23 points, while Nick Alves also chipped in with 15 points.
At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 185th, allowing 73.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Longwood. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.0%.