The Lancers and Bulldogs are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs will host the game at Kimmel Arena in Asheville, NC. The over/under for this game is set at 143 points, and the Bulldogs are the home favorites against the Lancers in a Big South conference matchup.
LONGWOOD LANCERS VS UNC ASHEVILLE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -2.5
This game will be played at Kimmel Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE UNC ASHEVILLE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bulldogs.
- Not only will UNC Asheville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Do the Lancers Stand a Chance on the Road?
Longwood has been a much better team at home this season, going 6-1 compared to 4-4 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in three games, and they have lost all three.
Over their last 10 games away from home, the Lancers are 5-5, and they are coming off a 69-58 loss to Radford. For the season, they are 13-5 overall and 1-2 in Big South play.
As the underdog this season, Longwood has gone 2-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-3, including a 1-2 record in their last three road games and a 6-4 mark in their last 10.
Longwood’s over/under record for the season sits at 7-8 and today’s line of 143 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.9). Their last three games have finished with an average of 129 points compared to the season average of 138.2. Over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 2-7.
In their most recent game, the Longwood offense put up just 58 points vs. the Radford Highlanders. Overall, they are now averaging 76.2 points per game which is 160th in the country. Leading the team in scoring was Walyn Napper with 20 points. Szymon Zapala also added 11 points for the Lancers.
So far, the Lancers’ defense is ranked 19th in the country at 62.9 points per contest. Against Radford in their most recent game, the Longwood defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Radford to hit 46% of their shots.
Will UNC Asheville Win at Home?
UNC Asheville will look to bounce back from their 84-79 loss to High Point as they come into this game with a 10-8 record. They have gone 3-3 at home and are currently riding a three-game winning streak at home.
So far, the Bulldogs have been favored in six of their 18 games, going 5-1 in those matchups. On the season, they have gone 2-1 in Big South games and 8-7 in non-conference matchups.
UNC Asheville has an ATS record of 6-9 this season. At home, they are just 2-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have gone 3-6-1.
Today’s over/under line of 143 is lower than the average over/under line in UNC Asheville’s games this season (150.7). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 163 points.
The UNC Asheville offense is coming off a game where they scored 79 points against High Point. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.5% and connected on 7 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Drew Pember with 36 points, while Nicholas McMullen also chipped in with 12 points.
Coming into today’s game, the UNC Asheville defense is giving up an average of 75.2 points per contest. So far, the UNC Asheville defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.1 times per game (575th).