Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Beach versus the Gauchos? Tip off is at at 10:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPNU. The game will be played at The Thunderdome in Santa Barbara, CA. The over/under for this game is set at 158.5 points, and the Gauchos are the home favorites against the Beach in a Big West conference matchup.
LONG BEACH STATE BEACH VS UC SANTA BARBARA GAUCHOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -1
This game will be played at The Thunderdome at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE UC SANTA BARBARA GAUCHOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Gauchos.
- Not only will UC Santa Barbara pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Beach Come Through as Road Underdogs?
Long Beach State is 11-6 overall and 3-2 in Big West play. They are 7-5 on the road this season and have gone 6-4 in their last ten road games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -0.5.
As the underdog, Long Beach State is 3-2 this season. In their last game, they lost to California-San Diego by a score of 88-74.
Long Beach State has an overall ATS record of 7-8 this season and they are 4-1 vs. the spread as the underdog. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Beach have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread. On the road, Long Beach State has an ATS mark of 6-6 this season and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2.
Today’s over/under line of 158.5 for the Long Beach State vs UC Santa Barbara game is higher than the average over/under line in Long Beach State games this year (153.3). So far, 12 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 163 points.
In their recent matchup, the Long Beach State offense ended with 74 points against California-San Diego. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 6 threes. Coming into the game, the Beach offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 28%. On average, they get up 17.7 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 17.2 made free-throws.
The Beach’s defense is presently ranked 286th nationally, allowing an average of 77.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. California-San Diego, the Tritons finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 88 points vs. Long Beach State.
Does UC Santa Barbara Have a Shot at a Home Win?
UC Santa Barbara is 9-6 on the season and 1-3 in Big West play. They are 3-2 at home and have an average scoring margin of +7.0 points per game at home. Overall, they have been favored in 8 of their 15 games, going 4-4 in those contests.
Coming off a 61-52 win over Cal Poly, the Gauchos have gone 8-2 in their last 10 home games. On the year, they are 3-4 on the road compared to 3-2 at home.
UC Santa Barbara has not fared well against the spread this season, going just 4-7-1. Their ATS record at home is just 1-3-1, and their mark as the favorite is just 2-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gauchos are just 3-6-1 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for UC Santa Barbara games is 6-6. The average scoring total in their games this season is 146.6 points, which is similar to the average over/under line of 146.2. Today’s over/under line of 158.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games. Over their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 131 points.
In their latest game, UC Santa Barbara offense put up 61 points against Cal Poly. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 5 threes. Ajay Mitchell is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Yohan Traore brings a PPG average of 14.6 into the game.
On defense, UC Santa Barbara is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.1 points per game. So far, the UC Santa Barbara defense is giving up an average of 7.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.6 times per game (666th).