Planning on watching today’s Beach and Aggies game? Catch the action at Dollar Loan Center in Henderson, NV, as the Aggies hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on ESPN2. The over/under for this game is set at 143 points, and UC Davis is favored by -2 vs. Long Beach State in a Big West conference matchup.


The Pick: UC Davis Aggies -2

This game will be played at Dollar Loan Center at 9:30 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will UC Davis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Beach Pull the Upset on the Road?

Long Beach State is 18-14 overall and 13-10 in Big West games. They have won three straight games and are 12-9 on the road this season. Their scoring margin on the road is -0.6 points per game.

As the underdog, Long Beach State has a record of 7-6 this season. In their last game, they defeated UC Irvine 83-79. Over their last 10 road games, the Beach are 5-5, and they are 3-2 in their last five.

As the underdog, Long Beach State has gone 8-5 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS record is 11-10 and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Long Beach State’s over/under record this season is 20-13 and their games have averaged 153 points. Today’s over/under line of 143 is lower than the average OU line in their games (152) and in their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 160 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the Long Beach State offense tallied 83 points in a matchup against UC Irvine. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45%, and they made 7 threes. Marcus Tsohonis is leading the team in scoring at 17.6 points per contest. Aboubacar Traore has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.1 going into the game.

At present, the Beach’s defense is nationally ranked 277th, allowing 76.0 points per game. The Long Beach State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 79 points and allowed UC Irvine to connect on 5 threes.

Will the Aggies Find a Way to Win at Home?

UC Davis enters today’s game against Long Beach State as a 2-point favorite. On the season, the Aggies have a record of 19-12, including a 16-6 mark in Big West play. They have won five straight games and are 11-6 at home this season.

UC Davis is 13-7 when favored this season and has gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. In their last game, the Aggies defeated Hawaii by a score of 68-65.

UC Davis has an ATS record of 17-14 this season, including a mark of 9-8 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

UC Davis’ over/under record for the season is 11-20 and today’s over/under line of 143 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (142.7). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 2-8.

In their previous game, the Aggies’ offense finished with 68 points, which is right in line with their current average of 71.3 points per contest. Leading UC Davis in scoring vs. Hawaii was Elijah Pepper with his 25 points. Kane Milling also added 14 points for the Aggies.

At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 67th in the country, permitting 67.8 points per game. Against Hawaii in their most recent game, the UC Davis defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Hawaii to hit 44% of their shots.