Looking to win big? The Trojans and Panthers face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Panthers are hosting the game at GSU Convocation Center in Atlanta, GA. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 153 points, and the Panthers are favored to win at home vs. the Trojans.


The Pick: Little Rock Trojans +7

This game will be played at GSU Convocation Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, November 19th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Even though we have Georgia State winning straight-up, we like Little Rock at +7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Little Rock Lock in a Road Win?

Heading into their 4th game of the season, Little Rock has a record of 1-2. Looking back to last season, Little Rock has a record of 1-4 in their last five road games. Heading into their game against Georgia State, Little Rock has an ATS record of 1-2. When considering their performance in the previous season, Little Rock is 5-4-1 vs. the spread in their last ten games.

In three games, Little Rock comes in with an over/under mark of 2-1-0, with their games averaging 161.7 points per game. The Trojans’ last five games have culminated with an average of 82 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

In their latest game, Little Rock’s offense looked good, scoring 93 points against Northern Illinois. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.3% and made 16/24 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Deantoni Gordon, who holds an average of 20.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Khalen Robinson is averaging 17.7 points per game this season.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Little Rock is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 83.3 points per game (172nd). In their previous game vs. Northern Illinois, the Huskies finished with a field goal percentage of 58% and a total of 98 points vs. Little Rock.

Will the Panthers Come Through as Home Favorites?

After three games, Georgia State has a record of 1-2. When playing away, they have a 1-1 record, and they are 0-1 at home. Georgia State’s against the spread (ATS) record heading into today’s game is 1-2. Taking into account the previous ten games, which includes last season, Georgia State has gone 3-7 ATS.

After three games, Georgia State has an over/under record of 1-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 152.3 points per game so far. The Panthers’ last five games have culminated with an average of 64 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.

The Georgia State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 64 points versus Northern Illinois. During the game, they attempted 18 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 30.3%. Coming into the game, the Panthers offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 18.7 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14.3 made free-throws.

So far, the Panthers’ defense is ranked 134th in the country at 76.3 points per contest. Against Northern Illinois in their most recent game, the Georgia State defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Northern Illinois to hit 30% of their shots.