Planning on watching today’s Lions and Tigers game? Catch the action at Gentry Center in Nashville, TN, as the Tigers hosts this showdown at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Ohio Valley conference game currently have the Tigers as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 145 points.
LINDENWOOD LIONS VS TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tennessee State Tigers -10
This game will be played at Gentry Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 84-63 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -10.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Will the Lindenwood Defense Show Up on the Road?
So far this season, Lindenwood has been the underdog in 12 of their 16 games. On the road, they have gone 4-6, and their average scoring margin sits at -11.9 points per game.
Coming off a 74-68 win over Southeast Missouri State, the Lions will be looking to improve their overall record of 7-9. So far, they have gone 1-2 in Ohio Valley Conference play compared to their 6-7 non-conference record.
As the underdog, Lindenwood has a 6-6 record vs. the spread this season and a 6-4 mark in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Lions are 5-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games.
So far this season, the over/under record in Lindenwood games is 5-8. The average over/under line in their games is 139.3 and their games have averaged 138 points. Today’s over/under line of 145 is higher than the average line in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and those games have averaged 133 points.
Lindenwood is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 74 points vs. Southeast Missouri State. This figure is more than their season average of 66.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Keenon Cole, who is averaging 18.7 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Darius Beane also maintains a PPG average of 13.7 heading into game.
Lindenwood’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.1 points per game. So far, the Lindenwood defense is giving up an average of 7.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (489th).
Can the Tigers Deliver Being Favored at Home?
After losing two straight games, Tennessee State is looking to get back on track when they host Lindenwood. The Tigers are 8-9 overall, including a 2-2 mark at home.
On the other hand, Lindenwood has lost its last two games and enters this one with a 6-12 record. Tennessee State is favored by 10 points, and the over/under is set at 145.
As the favorite, Tennessee State has gone just 1-5 vs. the spread this season and 4-6 over their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Tigers are 1-3 vs. the spread this season and just 1-5 over their last 10 home games.
So far this season, the over/under record for Tennessee State is 7-6, and today’s line of 145 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149). This year, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 145. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.
The Tennessee State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Morehead State. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.9% while connecting on 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is EJ Bellinger, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.5, while Christian Brown also carries a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 219th, allowing 73.8 points per game. Tennessee State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Morehead State offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 78 points.