Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Flames versus the Blue Raiders? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN. In this Conference USA matchup, Liberty is favored by -5.5 vs. Middle Tennessee. The over/under for the game is 136 points.

LIBERTY FLAMES VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +5.5

This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
  • Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Flames?

Liberty has been a much better team at home than on the road this season, as they are 12-5 at home compared to just 2-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +8.8, while it is -5.0 on the road. They are also 14-9 when favored this season.

Over their last 10 road games, the Flames have gone just 2-8. In their most recent road game, they lost to UTEP by a score of 67-51. So far this season, Liberty has gone 17-12 overall and 6-8 in Conference USA.

As the favorite this season, Liberty has gone 12-11 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark on the road is just 1-8 and they have gone 0-5 in their last five road games vs. the spread. Over their last 10 road games, the Flames have an ATS record of 1-8-1.

Today’s over/under line of 136 for the Liberty Flames is lower than their average over/under line for the season of 137.3. So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than 136. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their most recent game, the Liberty offense concluded with only 51 points against UTEP. Throughout the game, they made 7/25 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 39.1%. In terms of offense, the Flames have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 104th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 57th in percentage and 10th in three-pointers made.

The Flames’ defense is presently ranked 20th nationally, allowing an average of 64.9 points per contest. Against UTEP, the Flames’ defense gave up 67 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, UTEP only made 8 free-throws.

Can Middle Tennessee Deliver Being Underdogs at Home?

At home this season, Middle Tennessee has an average scoring margin of +2.1 points per game, and they have won five straight games at home. Overall, the Blue Raiders are 9-6 at home compared to 1-11 on the road.

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee is just 2-12 this season, and they are 12-17 overall. Their last game was an 81-64 loss to Sam Houston State, and they come into this game with a two-game losing streak.

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 2-12. However, they have been much better vs. the spread at home, going 8-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blue Raiders have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 136 is right in line with the average over/under line of 135 in Middle Tennessee’s games this year. For the season, the over/under record in their games is 11-14-2. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and over their last 10 games, it’s 7-2-1. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 136.

The Middle Tennessee offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 64 points versus Sam Houston State. During the game, they attempted 20 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 38.3%. Jestin Porter is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Elias King brings a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

So far, the Blue Raiders’ defense is ranked 110th in the country at 69.7 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Sam Houston State, the Bearkats finished with a field goal percentage of 48% and a total of 81 points vs. Middle Tennessee.