The Flames and Gamecocks are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Gamecocks will host the game at Pete Mathews Coliseum in Jacksonville, AL. Liberty is favored by -5.5 in this Conference USA conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 131 points.

LIBERTY FLAMES VS JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +5.5

This game will be played at Pete Mathews Coliseum at 5:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.

WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Gamecocks.
  • Not only will Jacksonville State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will Liberty Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Liberty comes into this game with a 13-7 record and a two-game win streak. So far, they are 2-3 in Conference USA games compared to their 11-4 non-conference mark. As the favorite, they are 10-4 this season.

On the road, the Flames are 1-3 this season, and their average scoring margin is -3.8 points per game. In their last 10 road games, they are 3-7.

When looking at Liberty’s ATS record this season, they are currently 9-8. However, their ATS mark on the road is just 1-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flames are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131 is lower than the average over/under line in Liberty’s games this year (138.4). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.

Liberty finished with 82 points in their game against Sam Houston State. This total surpasses their season-average of 76.5 points per game. Offensively, the Flames have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 96th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 65th in percentage and 6th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Flames’ defense is positioned 16th in the country, permitting 63.3 points per game. So far, the Liberty defense is giving up an average of 7.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.1 times per game (365th).

Can Jacksonville State Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Through 20 games, Jacksonville State has a 10-10 record, including a 4-4 record at home. They have been an underdog in 10 of their games, going 3-7 in those matchups.

After losing their last game to Middle Tennessee by a score of 75-67, the Gamecocks have now lost three games in a row. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.

As the underdog, Jacksonville State has gone 5-5 against the spread this season. At home, the Gamecocks have an ATS mark of just 3-5 this year and are 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

Today’s over/under line of 131 for the Jacksonville State game is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (135.2). So far, their over/under record is 6-12. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 140 points compared to their season average of 131.6.

The Jacksonville State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 67 points vs. Middle Tennessee. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.6% while connecting on 4 threes. On the offensive front, the Gamecocks have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 135th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 287th in terms of percentage and 336th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Gamecocks’ defense is ranked 21st in the country at 64.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.2 threes per game vs. Liberty. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.1%.