Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Cardinals versus the Lions? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at The Field House in Commerce, TX. Lamar is favored by -4.5 in this Southland conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 144.5 points.


The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions +4.5

This game will be played at The Field House at 8:00 ET on Monday, March 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lions.
  • Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Lamar Grab a Win on the Road?

Despite their 2-10 road record, Lamar has been the favorite in 13 of their 29 games this season, going 10-3 in those games. After losing their last two games, the Cardinals are 16-13 overall and 8-6 in Southland Conference play.

Most recently, Lamar lost to McNeese State by a score of 58-56. Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals have gone 4-6 on the road, compared to their season average of -6.7 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Lamar has an ATS record of 9-4. Overall, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of 16-9. Over their last three road games, Lamar has gone 3-0 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Lamar’s games this season (150). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 136 points.

In their recent matchup, the Lamar offense ended with 56 points against McNeese State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39.3% and made 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Terry Anderson, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 12.3, while Chris Pryor also maintains a PPG average of 11.7 leading up to the game.

At present, the Cardinals’ defense is nationally ranked 223rd, allowing 74.2 points per game. Against McNeese State, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 58 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, McNeese State only made 5 free-throws.

Will the Lions Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

As an underdog this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 3-15, and they are 4-3 when favored. They come into this game with a record of 11-18, including a 4-6 mark at home. Their average scoring margin at home is -1.6, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home.

For the season, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 7-7 in non-conference games, and they are 4-11 in Southland Conference play. They have gone 3-12 on the road, and their average scoring margin on the road is -15.9. In their last game, they defeated Houston Christian by a score of 98-85.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has an ATS record of 7-11 this season. However, their ATS record as the underdog over their last 10 games is 4-6. At home, the Lions are 6-4 vs. the spread this year and they are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this season (141.2). Their over/under record for the season is 11-14 and their games have averaged 145 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 161 points.

The Texas A&M-Commerce offense is coming off a game in which they scored 98 points vs. Houston Christian. Overall their field goal percentage was 51.6% while connecting on 6 threes. The Texas A&M-Commerce offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 28.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 32% of their looks from outside this season.

So far, the Lions’ defense is ranked 244th in the country at 75.0 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense is giving up an average of 9.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.9 times per game (492nd).