Looking to win big? The Cardinals and Demons face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Demons are hosting the game at Prather Coliseum in Natchitoches, LA. Lamar come into this Southland conference matchup as the -4 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 146 points.

LAMAR CARDINALS VS NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northwestern State Demons +4

This game will be played at Prather Coliseum at 4:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Demons.
  • Not only will Northwestern State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Cardinals Chances in Natchitoches

Despite their 2-10 road record, Lamar has been a solid team this season with a 15-13 overall record. They are currently on a two-game losing streak and went 8-6 in Southland Conference play compared to 7-7 in non-conference games.

So far this season, Lamar has been favored in 13 of their 28 games, going 10-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.4, while it is -6.7 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Lamar has gone 9-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cardinals are 7-3 ATS. On the road, Lamar is 5-7 vs. the spread this year and 4-6 over their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Lamar games is 15-10. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 146. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Lamar offense tallied 56 points in a matchup against McNeese State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.3%, and they made 7 threes. On the offensive front, the Cardinals have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 177th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 171st in terms of percentage and 161st in three-pointers made.

At present, the Cardinals’ defense is nationally ranked 227th, allowing 74.1 points per game. Against McNeese State, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 58 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, McNeese State only made 5 free-throws.

Can the Demons Grab a Win at Home?

Northwestern State is 4-6 at home this season, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five home games. So far, the Demons have been the underdog in 22 of their 28 games, and they are just 3-19 in those games. Overall, Northwestern State is 9-19 this season, and they are coming off an 86-73 win over Houston Christian.

Through 28 games, Northwestern State has gone 7-8 in Southland Conference play. For the season, they have a scoring differential of -3.9 points per game at home, and their average scoring margin on the road is -11.6 points per game.

Northwestern State’s ATS record this season is 14-12, and they are 5-5 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Demons have gone 5-5 ATS.

This season, the over/under record in Northwestern State games is 14-12. Today’s line of 146 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (146.5). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

Northwestern State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. Houston Christian. Overall, they hit 57.6% of their shots from the field and went 10/14 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring is Cliff Davis, who is averaging 14.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Braelon Bush also maintains a PPG average of 10.3 heading into game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Northwestern State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.0 points per game (270th). Against Houston Christian in their most recent game, the Northwestern State defense gave up a total of 73 points while allowing Houston Christian to hit 41% of their shots.