The Wildcats and Commodores are set to face off at 8:30 ET on SECN. The Commodores will host the game at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville, TN. Kentucky is favored by -8.5 in this Southeastern conference matchup the against Vanderbilt. The over/under for the game is set at 151.5 points.


The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +8.5

This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) at 8:30 ET on Tuesday, February 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Commodores.
  • Not only will Vanderbilt pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Does Kentucky Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Coming off a 103-92 loss to Tennessee, Kentucky will look to get back on track as they head to Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are 15-6 overall and 5-4 in Southeastern Conference play, and they are 13-4 when favored this season.

On the road, Kentucky is 4-2, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games away from home. For the season, the Wildcats are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.3 points per game on the road.

Against the spread, Kentucky has a record of 11-10 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-3. As the favorite, the Wildcats are 8-9 vs. the spread this year. Over their last three road games, Kentucky is 0-3 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Kentucky games is 16-5, and today’s line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 156.2. So far, 15 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 151.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 166 points, which is slightly below the season average of 167.2 points per game.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Kentucky’s offense scored 92 points against Tennessee. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.3%, and they went 12/19 from the free-throw line. Antonio Reeves is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Rob Dillingham brings a PPG average of 15.2 into the game.

Looking at the Kentucky defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.4 points per game (290th). Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 215th in the country at 8.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.4% of their shots vs. Kentucky.

Will the Commodores Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

Despite being 1-12 as the underdog this season, Vanderbilt will be getting 8.5 points at home against Kentucky. The Commodores are 6-9 at home this season, including a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.

For the season, Vanderbilt is 6-15 overall and 1-7 in Southeastern Conference play. In their most recent game, the Commodores beat Missouri, 68-61. So far, they have gone 5-3 when favored.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 6-6-1 against the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores have a mark of 5-4-1 vs. the spread. At home, Vanderbilt is 7-8 ATS this year, but they have gone 4-1 vs. the spread in their last 5 home games and 5-5 in their last 10.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Vanderbilt’s games this season (142.3). So far, their over/under record is 5-16. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and their over/under record during this span is 0-3.

In their recent game, the Commodores’ offense concluded with 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 66.4 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Commodores have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, ranking 391st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 397th in terms of percentage and 263rd in three-pointers made.

The Commodores’ defense is presently ranked 166th nationally, allowing an average of 72.0 points per contest. Vanderbilt will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Missouri to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.