Planning on watching today’s Wildcats and Volunteers game? Catch the action at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, TN, as the Volunteers hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on CBS. The over/under for this game is set at 166.5 points, and Tennessee is favored by -7.5 vs. Kentucky in a Southeastern conference matchup.


The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats +7.5

This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Volunteers.
  • Even though we have Tennessee winning straight-up, we like Kentucky at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 166.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Wildcats Pull Off a Road Win?

After winning four games in a row, Kentucky will look to keep their momentum going on the road against Tennessee. So far this season, the Wildcats have gone 7-4 on the road, and their average scoring margin in these games is +5.5 points per game.

Overall, Kentucky has gone 22-8 this season, including a 12-5 record in Southeastern Conference games. As the underdog, the Wildcats are 4-2 this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog, Kentucky has been excellent vs. the spread this season, going 5-1. Their overall ATS mark is just below .500 at 16-14. On the road, the Wildcats have gone 6-5 vs. the spread this year and are 2-1 ATS in their last three road games.

Today’s over/under line of 166.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Kentucky’s games this season (158.4). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 187 points.

Kentucky’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Vanderbilt, finishing the game with a total of 93 points. Their season average is now 89.7 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Antonio Reeves, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20, while Rob Dillingham also carries a PPG average of 15.1 into the game.

Coming into the game, Kentucky will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 79.1 points per game (322nd). Against Vanderbilt in their most recent game, the Kentucky defense gave up a total of 77 points while allowing Vanderbilt to hit 50% of their shots.

Will Tennessee Win at Home?

With a record of 24-6, including a 15-1 record at home, Tennessee is a 7.5-point favorite today against Kentucky. The Volunteers have won seven straight games and have gone 14-3 in Southeastern Conference play.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Volunteers have gone 9-1, and they are coming off a 66-59 win over South Carolina. Tennessee is 22-3 this season when favored, and they have gone 10-3 in non-conference games.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 14-10-1. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home, Tennessee has an ATS record of 10-5-1 this year and they have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 166.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 145.2 in Tennessee’s games this season. So far, 27 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In contrast to their season average of 80.2 points per game, the Tennessee had a below average performance. They scored 66 points against South Carolina and had a field goal percentage of 35.7%. Dalton Knecht is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 20.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jonas Aidoo brings a PPG average of 12.2 into the game.

So far, the Volunteers’ defense is ranked 53rd in the country at 67.1 points per contest. In their previous game vs. South Carolina, the Gamecocks finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 59 points vs. Tennessee.