At 12:00 ET, it’s a week 13 NCAAF battle between the Cardinals and Wildcats at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Don’t miss it on ABC as the game takes place on Saturday, November 25th. The Cardinals are the 7 favorites to come away with the win in this non-conference matchup. Are they the best play on the spread? Keep reading to see how I think this one plays out in Louisville.
KENTUCKY WILDCATS VS LOUISVILLE CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats +7
This game will be played at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.
WHY BET THE KENTUCKY WILDCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 28-23 in favor of Louisville.
- Even though we have Louisville winning straight-up, we like Kentucky at +7.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 51.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 51 points.
Does Kentucky Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
This season, the Kentucky Wildcats are currently 6-5. So far this season, they have played four road games and six at home.
So far, Kentucky has been favored six times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-5 and an average scoring differential of +3.5.
So far this season, the average over/under line for Kentucky’s games has been 48.2 points. The Wildcats have an over/under record of 7-3 heading into this week’s game.
Kentucky enters the game on offense with an average of 27.7, ranking them 56th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 89th in the nation, with an average of 203.5 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 92nd in rushing yards, with an average of 290 rushing attempts per game this season.
Kentucky’s defense sits at 92nd for points allowed, allowing 24.3 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 238.3 passing yards per game against them (122nd nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 110.4 rushing yards, ranking them 30th in college football.
Are Louisville Ready for a Home Win?
This season, the Louisville Cardinals are currently 10-1. So far this season, they have played four road games and six at home.
Against the spread, Louisville has gone 5-5 this season. The Cardinals have been favored eight times compared to one game as the underdog.
After 11 games, the average over/under line in Louisville’s matches stands at 49.8 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 51.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-5.
As they prepare to face the Kentucky, the Cardinals’ offense is averaging 187.4 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 25th in rushing yards and 46th in passing yards, on an average of 256.3 yards per matchup. Louisville has averaged 33.2 points per game so far. This figure places them 25th in the nation.
Louisville’s defense sits at 64th for points allowed, allowing 18.4 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 219 passing yards per game against them (84th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 100.1 rushing yards, ranking them 20th in college football.