Last Updated: 2018-01-03
The 17th-ranked Kentucky Wildcats (11-2, 1-0 SEC), 4.5-point favorites, will be at Pete Maravich Assembly Center to go head-to-head with the LSU Tigers (9-3) in a SEC matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 153.5 points and it will air on SEC Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers ATS Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Tigers defeated the Memphis Tigers 71-61, while the Wildcats beat the Georgia Bulldogs 66-61.
Kentucky dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.500 (above their season average of 0.273) and a turnover percentage of 11.3 (better than their season average of 17.2). For those same stats, Georgia was 0.224 and 18.2, respectively. LSU, on the other hand, was lights out from beyond the arc (13-26; 50.0 percent). LSU was lifted by Tremont Waters, who put up 18 points and eight assists. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way for Kentucky, contributing 21 points and five rebounds.
This showdown pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as LSU currently ranks eighth in effective field goal percentage (0.589) and Kentucky is 48th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.462). Furthermore, the Wildcats rank 17th in offensive rebounding percentage (37.2 percent), while the Tigers rank 274th in defensive rebounding percentage (68.5 percent).
Of the Wildcats’ 12 games that accepted bets, seven have finished over the total. Kentucky holds records of 11-2 straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Kentucky, games involving the Tigers also tend to go over the total (55.6 percent). Moreover, LSU owns records of 9-3 SU and 5-3-1 ATS.
Hamidou Diallo has been playing at a high level as of late for Kentucky, averaging 18.8 points and 1.8 steals over the last five games.
The Wildcats won the only game between these two teams last season, 92-85. Kentucky was successful at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Wildcats made 21 of their 26 free throws (80.8 percent), while the Tigers were 11-15 (73.3 percent). This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Kentucky Wildcats at LSU Tigers Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Kentucky, ATS Winner – Kentucky, O/U – Over
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LSU ranks 113th in three pointers attempted per game (23.0) while Kentucky ranks 270th (14.6).
The Tigers rank 31st in steals per game (8.1) while the Wildcats rank 99th in steals allowed per game (6.4).
LSU ranks 60th in assists per game (15.9) while Kentucky ranks 111th in assists allowed per game (13.2).
The Wildcats rank 33rd in rebounds per game (40.2) while the Tigers rank 155th (35.7).
Kentucky ranks 15th in blocks per game (5.9) while LSU ranks 90th (3.7).
Kentucky is 2-1 ATS on the road, while LSU is 3-1-1 ATS at home.
In 3 road games, the Wildcats have 2 overs and 1 under.
In 5 home games, the Tigers have 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Tigers are 2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Wildcats are 3-2.
In their last five games, LSU has 2 unders and 1 over, while Kentucky has 4 overs and 1 under.
During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 83.4 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (7.2 below their season average).
The Wildcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, down from 11.3 for the season.