The NCAAF season continues with the Big 12 Championship game that is taking place this Saturday, December 3, so make sure you check out the best Wildcats vs. Horned Frogs betting pick and odds.

Kansas State and TCU will battle for the Big 12 conference title when they face at AT&T Stadium. The Horned Frogs are -2.5 favorites on MyBookie Sportsbook, while the total is set at 62 points. These Big 12 foes have met once this season, and the Horned Frogs won 38-28 at home.

Wildcats dismantled the in-state rivals Jayhawks

The Kansas State Wildcats (9-3-0, 8-3-1 ATS) concluded the regular season with three consecutive wins. After defeating Baylor and West Virginia on the road, the Wildcats beat the Kansas Jayhawks 47-27 at home. The Wildcats scored 23 points in the opening quarter and then maintained a big lead to secure a W. The hosts totaled 443 yards opposite Kansas’ 307 and limited the visitors to just six second-half points.

Will Howard completed 11 of 21 passes for 213 yards and two touchdowns. Sammy Wheeler and Phillip Brooks were on the receiving end of those TD passes, but Deuce Vaughn led all the receivers with a game-high 82 yards on two catches. Vaughn also dominated on the ground with a game-high 147 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries; Malik Knowles recorded a pair of scores on just three attempts, while DJ Giddens also found the end zone. Defensively, Drake Cheatum was rock-solid with a game-high ten tackles.

QB Adrian Martinez was absent from the last contest with an unspecified ailment, and it is unclear if he will face Texas Christian on Saturday.

Horned Frogs finished the regular season in style

The TCU Horned Frogs (12-0-0, 9-2-1 ATS) ended the regular season with a perfect record, which is the second time since 2010 that they went undefeated, and are one of three teams to stay unbeaten this year. TCU closed the regular campaign in style with a 62-14 thrashing of the Iowa State Cyclones at home. They scored a season-high 62 points, but they have to thank their defense for that. Namely, Millard Bradford and Josh Newton both had pick six, while the Horned Frogs forced three turnovers and committed none on the other end.

Max Duggan completed 17 of 24 passes for 212 yards and three touchdowns, while his deputy Chandler Morris completed five of six passes for 34 yards and a touchdown. Jordan Hudson had two receptions but both were for touchdowns, while Savion Williams and Geor’Quarius Spivey combined for 91 yards and two scores on eight catches. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with 72 yards and a couple of touchdowns on 15 carries. On defense, Bud Clark and Dee Winters contributed with six tackles apiece.

WR Quentin Johnston missed the previous game with a right ankle ailment, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up Saturday against Kansas State.

Trends:

Kansas State:

N/A

TCU:

  • 5-1 ATS in the last six conference games
  • 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight games following an ATS win
  • 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game

Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs Pick  

TCU’s offense is unstoppable this year; the Horned Frogs are averaging 41.3 points per game, which is the fourth-best offense in college football. Kansas State has a top 20 defense that allows 19.4 ppg, but they already surrendered 38 points to the Horned Frogs this season, and I am backing TCU to test that D again and get a win. The Wildcats allowed 58 points in the last two games, which is rather concerning for them, while it’s excellent news for TCU. Max Duggan has been great this year and I am backing him to lead the Horned Frogs to the championship crown.

Pick: Take the Horned Frogs at -2.5 (-110)

The Total

It’s the championship game, and although TCU scored a season-high 62 points and Kansas State’s defense wasn’t impressive in its last two outings, I expect to see a tight game and a low-scoring affair. When I say low-scoring, I mean fewer than 60 points, not a 20-30 point game. Under is 6-1 in the last seven H2H meetings; Under is 4-1 in the Horned Frogs’ previous five games following an ATS win, while Under is 12-4 in TCU’s last 16 games in December.

Pick: Go Under 63.5 points (-130)