The Wildcats and Jayhawks are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN. The Jayhawks will host the game at Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, KS. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 143.5 points, and Kansas is favored by -11.5 to win at home against Kansas State.


The Pick: Kansas State Wildcats +11.5

This game will be played at Allen Fieldhouse at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Jayhawks.
  • Even though we have Kansas winning straight-up, we like Kansas State at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Wildcats Lock in a Win at Lawrence?

Through 29 games, Kansas State has a record of 17-12, including a 6-9 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, the Wildcats have struggled, going just 4-8, and they have lost seven straight games away from home.

As an underdog, Kansas State is 4-8 this season, and they come into this game as 11.5-point underdogs. Their average scoring margin on the road is -1.5 points per game, and their record as the underdog is 4-8.

As the underdog, Kansas State has been solid against the spread this season, going 8-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wildcats have an ATS mark of 7-3. On the road, Kansas State has been even better vs. the spread, going 8-4 this season and 15-13 overall.

This season, the over/under record for Kansas State games is 13-15, and today’s line of 143.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games of 143.7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

In their previous game, the Wildcats’ offense finished with 72 points, which is right in line with their current average of 72.6 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Tylor Perry, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16, while Cam Carter also carries a PPG average of 15.1 into the game.

At present, the Wildcats’ defense is nationally ranked 112nd, allowing 69.9 points per game. Against Cincinnati in their most recent game, the Kansas State defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing Cincinnati to hit 47% of their shots.

Do the Jayhawks Have What it Takes at Home?

At home this season, Kansas is 15-1, and they are favored by 11.5 points against Kansas State. Their average scoring margin at home is +13.8 compared to +1.4 on the road.

On the year, Kansas is 21-8, and they have gone 9-7 in Big 12 play. After losing their last game to Baylor, the Jayhawks have dropped two straight.

Against the spread, Kansas has gone 12-17 this season. At home, they are 8-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Jayhawks have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Kansas games this season (145.3). So far, 14 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Jayhawks’ offense finished with 74 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 76.6 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Hunter Dickinson, who holds an average of 18.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Kevin McCullar Jr. is averaging 19.1 points per game this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Kansas defense is giving up an average of 68.3 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Baylor, the Bears finished with a field goal percentage of 55% and a total of 82 points vs. Kansas.