The Wildcats and Bearcats are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bearcats will host the game at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 139.5 points, with Cincinnati being favored by -6.5 at home against Kansas State.

KANSAS STATE WILDCATS VS CINCINNATI BEARCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats -6.5

This game will be played at Fifth Third Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Bearcats.
  • Not only will Cincinnati pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Kansas State Stun the Crowd at Fifth Third Arena?

After a victory over BYU, Kansas State will look to snap a six-game losing streak on the road. So far, the Wildcats have gone 4-7 away from home, compared to a 12-4 record at home.

On the season, Kansas State has gone 17-11, including a 6-8 mark in Big 12 play. In their last 10 road games, the Wildcats have gone 3-7.

As the underdog, Kansas State has a solid ATS record of 7-4 this season. Their overall ATS record is 14-13. On the road, the Wildcats are 7-4 vs. the spread this year, and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Kansas State has an impressive ATS mark of 7-3.

On the season, the over/under record for Kansas State games is 12-15, and today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 143.9. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and during their last five games, the average scoring total is 148 points.

Kansas State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. BYU, finishing the game with a total of 84 points. Their season average is now 72.6 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Tylor Perry, who holds an average of 15.6 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Cam Carter is averaging 15.2 points per game this season.

At present, the Wildcats’ defense is nationally ranked 104th, allowing 69.8 points per game. So far, the Kansas State defense is giving up an average of 10.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.1 times per game (702nd).

Can Cincinnati Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

After losing three straight games, Cincinnati will look to get back on track at home against Kansas State. So far this season, the Bearcats have gone 12-5 at home compared to 4-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.8 compared to -3.3 on the road.

Overall, Cincinnati is 16-12, including a 5-10 mark in Big 12 play. They have been the favorite in 19 of their 28 games, going 13-6 in those contests. In their last game, they fell to Houston by a score of 67-59.

As the favorite, Cincinnati has struggled against the spread this season, going just 7-12. Their ATS mark at home is 7-9-1, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are just 2-8 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Cincinnati games is 13-15 and today’s line of 139.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (144.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points, which is right in line with today’s OU line. On the year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Against Houston, the Cincinnati had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74.4 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39.6% in the game. Daniel Skillings is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 11.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Day Day Thomas brings a PPG average of 10.2 into the game.

At this time, the Bearcats’ defense is positioned 70th in the country, permitting 67.9 points per game. So far, the Cincinnati defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.9 times per game (595th).