The Jayhawks and Knights are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Knights will host the game at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL. The Jayhawks are the favored team in this Big 12 conference contest against the Knights. The game’s over/under currently sits at 143.5 points.
KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS UCF KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UCF Knights +6.5
This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.
WHY BET THE UCF KNIGHTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-66 in favor of the Knights.
- Not only will UCF pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.
Will the Jayhawks Win in Orlando?
After winning their last game against TCU by a score of 83-81, Kansas comes into this matchup on a nine-game win streak. So far this season, the Jayhawks have an overall record of 13-1, including a 1-0 mark in Big 12 play.
On the road, Kansas has been fantastic, going 4-1. Over their last 10 road games, the Jayhawks have gone 7-3, and their average scoring margin away from home is +8.2. Overall, Kansas has been favored in all 14 of their games this season, and they have gone 13-1 in those contests.
When it comes to covering the spread this season, Kansas has struggled with a record of 5-9. On the road, their ATS mark is just 1-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Jayhawks are just 3-7 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Kansas games is 6-8 and today’s line of 143.5 is similar to the average over/under line of 146.2 in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Kansas offense tallied 83 points in a matchup against TCU. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.3%, and they made 5 threes. Kevin McCullar Jr. is leading the team in scoring at 20.1 points per contest. Hunter Dickinson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 19.4 going into the game.
The Jayhawks’ defense is presently ranked 67th nationally, allowing an average of 66.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. TCU, the Horned Frogs finished with a field goal percentage of 53% and a total of 81 points vs. Kansas.
Can UCF Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?
UCF has been a much better team at home this season, going 8-2 compared to 1-2 on the road. They have won their last three games at home and are 4-1 in their last five. Overall, the Knights are 9-4 this season, including a 9-3 non-conference record.
Last time out, UCF lost to Kansas State by a score of 77-52. This season, the Knights have been the underdog in two games, going 0-2 in those matchups. They are 9-2 as the favorite.
So far this season, UCF has gone 6-7 vs. the spread. At home, they have a record of 6-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Knights have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record in UCF games is 8-5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points compared to an average over/under line of 143.5 points this season. So far this year, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line of 143.5 points.
Against Kansas State, the UCF had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 76.5 points per game. They scored 52 points and posted a field goal percentage of 33.8% in the game. One area that the UCF offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 54th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.
So far this season, the UCF defense has been performing well, ranking 45th in the country at 65.2 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UCF’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.3% this season.