Going into game three of this American League showdown, the Yankees (52-47, 30-23 home) are giving the start to Luis Severino. On the other side, the Royals (28-72, 13-36 away) are rolling with Jordan Lyles. Don’t miss my prediction for today’s Kansas City Royals versus New York Yankees game in New York.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas City Royals +170

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 23rd.

WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY ROYALS:

  • Coming into the game, the Yankees have gone just 1-4 in their last five home games.
  • Over their last five games as the favorite, the Yankees are just 2-3 (straight-up).
  • Luis Severino has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 12.56 over his last two starts.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS

On a record of 28-72, the Royals are 5th in the AL Central. At home, they have put together a win percent of 29.4% compared to 26.5% on the road. This season, Kansas City has gone 14-48 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 4-25-2.

Kansas City’s Jordan Lyles has had a difficult season thus far, with an overall record of 1-11 and an ERA of 6.05. His road ERA is 8.93, while his home ERA is 5.12. Lyles’ WHIP for the season stands at 1.26, and he has allowed a batting average of .241 against him. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .457 against the starter.

Jordan Lyles delivered a quality start in his most recent outing, hurling six scoreless frames against the Tigers. Unfortunately, the Royals were unable to capitalize on his performance and fell 3-2.

As a team, Kansas City has scuffled at the plate over their last ten games, with a combined batting average of just .152. Compared to other teams, this is just 29th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .372% while going deep a total of 85 times (26th). Overall, the Royals are 29th in the MLB at 3.7 runs per contest.

Bobby Witt Jr. is the current home-run leader for the Royals in 2023, having hit 16 long balls and driving in 51 runs. His slugging percentage for the season is a solid .442.

WILL THE NEW YORK YANKEES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Yankees enter today’s game with an overall record of 52-47, including putting together an above .500 mark at home (30-23). This year, New York has played in 32 series and have gone 15-12-5. Currently, they are 5th in the AL East.

Starter Luis Severino has not had the start to the season he had hoped for, as his overall record stands at 1-4 for the Yankees. In 10 appearances, Severino has posted an ERA of 6.66 and a K/9 of 7.4. His FIP is 6.32 and opposing batters have an OBP of .367 against him.

In his most recent outing, Luis Severino tossed six strong frames, surrendering one run, but was not rewarded with a win. Unfortunately for the Yankees, they were edged out by the Angels 4-3.

So far this season, the Yankees’ has gone deep 139 times, placing them 5th in the league. Over New York’s previous five games, they are 16th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.4 runs per game putting them 20th in the league. The Yankees’ overall team batting average stands at .230 along with an OBP of .300.

The Yankees’ Gleyber Torres leads the team in hits, boasting a .264 batting average. His slugging percentage stands at .432 and his on-base percentage is .330 entering the game.