Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick 06/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-14

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will play host to their divisional rival Kansas City Royals at Target Field. The matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Kansas City to catch the game.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Vegas has listed Kansas City (+185) as the underdog to Minnesota (-200). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -110 odds. Playing the over will give you -110 odds. There’s a runline of Royals +1.5 (-120) and Twins -1.5 (+100) for this matchup.

The Royals are 22-46 SU and have gone 30-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.9 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 45-22 SU and 39-27 ATS. The team’s gained 19.8 units for moneyline bettors and 9.2 units ATS.

Twins games have an over/under record of 35-27-4 so far in 2019. Kansas City has an over/under record of 31-31-5.

The right-handed Brad Keller will get the nod for Kansas City. Keller (3-8, 4.29 ERA) has racked up 58 strikeouts in 86 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins are handing the ball to righty Kyle Gibson (6-3, 4.14 ERA), who has 71 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Gibson is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 20 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.30.

Minnesota’s offense is putting up 6.0 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .305/.369/.561 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ hitters have been led by Jorge Polanco, who is hitting .338/.397/.569 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the visitors, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.26 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.86, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 8.87.

The Royals offense has slashed .244/.312/.406 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Whit Merrifield has led Kansas City’s hitters. Merrifield is hitting .294/.344/.482 with seven home runs, 31 RBIs, 46 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Royals just got a 7-3 victory over the Tigers, while the Twins are coming off of a 10-5 win against the Mariners.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only one of Kansas City’s last seven outings.

The Royals have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 24 over their last 10.

The Royals have a team OPS of .718 this season and an OPS of .736 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .861 overall and .855 versus righties.

Kansas City fielders have committed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Minnesota over its last 10.

The Twins have won three of their last four games SU.

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