Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick 08/21/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-21

The Kansas City Royals will take on the Baltimore Orioles. This AL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Kansas City to catch the action.

Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (+105) as the underdog to Kansas City (-115). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 11 runs and -105 for under 11. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Royals -1.5 runs (+130) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-150).

The Orioles are 40-86 straight up (SU) and 52-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.3 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Royals are 45-81 SU and have gone 58-67 ATS. They’ve lost 21.0 units for moneyline bettors and 21.7 units ATS. Kansas City is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 65-51-9 in 2019. Royals games have gone over 59 times, gone under 58 times and pushed on eight occasions.

Mike Montgomery will get the start for the visiting Royals. The southpaw Montgomery is 3-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Aaron Brooks (2-7, 6.49 ERA), who’s got 61 punchouts and 22 walks, along with a 1.43 WHIP. Brooks did not record a start against the Royals in 2018.

Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.02 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.91, along with a K/9 of 8.47.

The Royals offense has slashed .242/.308/.398 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Kansas City’s hitters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Jorge Soler, who’ve collectively blasted 49 home runs. Merrifield is slashing .299/.351/.474 with 14 home runs, 64 RBIs, 84 runs and 16 stolen bases. Soler (.258/.351/.544) is up to 35 homers, 88 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.4 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.77 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.36 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .210/.311/.325 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Villar is slashing .276/.346/.447 with 16 home runs, 55 RBIs, 83 runs and 28 steals, while Mancini’s line sits at .276/.347/.530 with 29 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 17.9 units and are 42-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.8 units and are 19-26 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 17 that went under the total.

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has hit in just two of Kansas City’s last seven contests.

Baltimore has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.

The Royals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.

The Royals have an OPS of .706 this season and an OPS of .711 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .717 overall and .713 versus righties.

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