Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 04/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-15

The Kansas City Royals will head north to take on their AL Central rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast the matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (-130) is the favorite over Kansas City (+120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Royals +1.5 runs and +155 for the White Sox -1.5 runs.

The Royals are 5-10 SU and are 8-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.1 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year, despite having gained 1.8 units ATS. Kansas City’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 5-9 SU and 4-9 ATS. They’ve lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Chicago games have had an over/under record of 10-3 so far in 2019. Kansas City has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 10-3-1.

Heath Fillmyer (0-0, 15.00 ERA) is projected to get the start for the visiting Royals. The right-handed Fillmyer started 13 games last year while finishing the season 4-2 overall with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP.

The White Sox will be turning to righty Ervin Santana (0-1, 17.18 ERA), who started 5 games last year and finished the season 0-1 overall with an 8.03 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP.

Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.68 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.93, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K-per-9 of 7.48.

The Royals offense has slashed .251/.323/.433 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Kansas City’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Alex Gordon. Merrifield is slashing .328/.357/.522 with 22 hits, seven RBIs, 14 runs and five steals. Gordon (.360/.452/.640) has produced 18 hits, three homers, 13 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 6.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 6.78, a WHIP of 1.61 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.55 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In five games against AL Central foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 2.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.31.

Chicago’s offense has put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .222/.293/.392 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Tim Anderson and third baseman Yoan Moncada have led the charge for the White Sox hitters this year. Anderson is hitting .429/.440/.653 with three home runs, 10 RBIs, nine runs and five steals, and Moncada’s line is .328/.371/.586 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 4.0 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 3.2 units and are 2-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in seven of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

Kansas City has recorded 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 15 XBH over its last five.

Chicago has posted 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.

The Royals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

The Royals have a total OPS of .756 this season and an OPS of .770 against right-handed pitchers. The White Sox’ OPS sits at .710 overall and .732 against righties.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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