Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks – Free Betting Pick Week 16

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Sunday, 12/23/2018 at 08:20 pm KANSAS CITY (11-3) at SEATTLE (8-6)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
129KANSAS CITY 55 35.6 27.1 11-3 8-5-1 9-5-0 114.4 312.8 427.2 127.2 282.2 409.4
130SEATTLE +2 25.9 20.9 8-6 8-4-2 7-7-0 154.9 195 349.9 112.3 247.4 359.7

Last Updated: 2018-12-19

In a battle of two offenses possessing very different run-pass ratios, the Seahawks (+2.5) are gearing up to host the Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) in Seattle. This pivotal Sunday Night game gets going at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC will televise the action.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Odds

The spread for this matchup is placed at 2.5 points in favor of Kansas City. The Chiefs are currently receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Seahawks are +120. The over/under has been set at 53.5 points. Based on how things are lining up, there should be multiple good live betting possibilities in this game.

The game’s total has shifted down after originally being set at 54. The opening spread of 2.5 has remained firm.

The Chiefs are 11-3 straight up (SU) while the Seahawks are 8-6 SU. Each team has rewarded gamblers this year as the Seahawks are up 1.8 units and the Chiefs have recorded 7.2 units.

The Chiefs are on the rebound after a narrow 29-28 loss to the Chargers last week. The passing attack was sharp as Patrick Mahomes completed 24 passes on 34 attempts for 243 yards and two touchdowns. Damien Williams (49 rushing yards on 10 attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack while Travis Kelce (seven receptions, 61 yards) and Williams (six catches, 74 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Seattle just dropped a 26-23 game to San Francisco a week ago. Russell Wilson completed 23-of-31 passes for 237 yards and two touchdowns. Chris Carson (119 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack as Mike Davis (eight receptions, 63 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Kansas City has run the ball on 39.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Seattle has an overall rush percentage of 54.8 percent. The Chiefs have rushed for 114 yards/game and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Seahawks are putting up 155 rush yards per contest and have 11 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Chiefs should hold an edge in the trenches, as their offensive line has allowed just 37 sacks while the D-line registered 31 sacks. The Seahawks O-line has given up 43 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 39 occasions.

The Chiefs have logged 325 yards/contest through the air overall and have 45 passing scores so far. The Seahawks have produced 216 pass yards per outing and have 31 total pass TDs.

Kansas City has allowed opponents to run for an average of 127 yards and pass for 305 yards per game. Seattle has been a bit better than that, allowing 112.3 yards per game on the ground and 262.9 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Chiefs have given up an ANY/A of 6.35 to opposing QBs, while the Seahawks are allowing an ANY/A of 6.62.

Mahomes has already put up 4,166 passing yards this year. He’s completed 311-of-463 attempts with 43 passing touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. Mahomes has a 9.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.71 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Kansas City in this one. Tyreek Hill, Damien Williams and Travis Kelce have combined for 477 total yards and five touchdowns as a trio over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, Russell Wilson has tallied 2,953 yards, 31 TDs and five INTs. Wilson’s ANY/A stands at 7.72 for the year and 4.86 across his past two outings.

We expect the Seahawks to dictate tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Tyler Lockett (758 receiving yards, nine TDs this season) has chipped in lately, but Chris Carson (823 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Mike Davis (417 rush yards, three rush TDs, 197 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have been key factors in the Seahawks’ recent offensive strategies.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Prediction

SU Winner – Seahawks, ATS Winner – Seahawks, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Kansas City defense has 46 sacks on the year while Seattle has just 36.

Both offenses have lost four fumbles this year.

Each team has produced 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Chiefs have have made 28 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Seahawks have accounted for 20 such plays.

The Kansas City defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Seattle has given up eight such plays.

The Kansas City offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Seattle has created 14 such runs.

Both defenses have allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Chiefs have given up 53 running plays of 10+ yards while the Seahawks have given up 44 such plays.

Kansas City has averaged 4.4 yards per rush attempt over its past three contests and 3.5 over its last two.

Seattle has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.0 over its last two.

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