The NFL action continues with Week 15 games on Sunday, December 18, including this conference tilt in Houston, and here you can read the best Chiefs vs. Texans Bills betting pick and odds.

Houston is facing the ninth consecutive defeat when they host Kansas City at NRG Stadium. The Chiefs are 14-point favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook, while the total is set at 49 points. These AFC rivals will meet for the first time since 2020 when the Chiefs won 34-20 at home.

Chiefs bounced back from Week 13 loss

The Kansas City Chiefs (10-3-0, 3-9-1 ATS) were on a five-game winning run before suffering a tight loss against the Cincinnati Bengals on the road, but they bounced back with a 34-28 road victory over the divisional foes Denver Broncos. Kansas City got to a 27-0 lead but the hosts managed to answer with a pair of quick touchdowns to close the opening half. The Chiefs scored just one TD in the second 30 minutes, which proved to be enough to escape with a win. Kansas City totaled more yards (431-320) than Denver but committed three turnovers. Luckily, those errors didn’t cost them in the end.

Patrick Mahomes matched a career-high three interceptions, but he did complete 28 of 42 passes for 352 and three touchdowns. Two of those TD passes went for running back Jerick McKinnon, who finished the game with a game-high 112 yards on seven catches. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Travis Kelce combined for 145 yards and a score on 13 receptions (20 targets). Isiah Pacheco led the game with 70 rushing yards on 13 carries. Defensively, Willie Gay had a pick-six; the team recorded six sacks opposite Denver’s two, while Nick Bolton led the Chiefs with nine tackles.

RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle) and WR Mecole Hardman (abdomen) are out indefinitely. WR Kadarius Toney (hamstring) is questionable to face the Texans on Sunday.

Texans fell short in Dallas

The Houston Texans (1-11-1, 5-7-1 ATS) are on an eight-game losing streak and although they nearly avoided that eighth defeat, they came up empty-handed against the Dallas Cowboys on the road. Houston had a 23-17 lead entering the final quarter and a 23-20 lead in the last minute, but the hosts scored a late touchdown to avoid an upset and win 27-23.

Davis Mills completed 16 of 21 passes for 175 yards and an interception. Jeff Driskel, his deputy, completed four of six passes for 38 yards and a touchdown. Amari Rodgers scored that lone receiving touchdown for the Texans, while Chris Moore led all the receivers with 124 yards on ten catches. Dameon Pierce chipped in a game-high 78 rushing yards and a TD on 22 attempts. On defense, Tremon Smith had a pair of interceptions, while Jalen Pitre and Christian Kirksey combined for 22 tackles.

T Austin Deculus (ankle) and RB Dameon Pierce (ankle) are out indefinitely. WR Brandin Cooks (calf), CB Steve Nelson (ankle), WR Nico Collins (foot), and CB Derek Stingley Jr. (hamstring) are questionable to play on Sunday against the Chiefs.


Kansas City:

  • 6-1 ATS in the last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record
  • 5-0-1 ATS in the last six games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game


  • 1-4 ATS in the last five games overall
  • 1-4 ATS in the last five home games
  • 0-4 ATS in the last four vs. AFC rivals

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Pick

Kansas City shouldn’t have problems against one of the least efficient teams in the NFL that is averaging 16.2 points per game. The Chiefs have the second-best offense in the league that is scoring 29.5 ppg and the best pass offense that averages 309.2 yards per contest. Although the Texans are not bad when it comes to pass defense, they are the worst on run defense, so Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon will have an opportunity to do damage on the ground. Houston allowed at least 23 points in each of its last six games, and I would be surprised if the Chiefs fail to score 30+ here.

Pick: Take the Chiefs at -13.5 (-110)

The Total

I am going with a high-scoring game mainly because of Kansas City’s high-octane offense. The Chiefs scored 24+ points in each of their previous five games, and considering how Houston’s defense is playing lately, I am sure the visitors will have a big offensive display on Sunday. The hosts should contribute 14-17 points, which should be enough for our Over bet. Over is 4-0 in the last four H2H meetings; Over is 9-2 in the Chiefs’ previous 11 road games, while Over is 4-1 in Kansas City’s last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Pick: Go Over 47.5 points (-130)