Planning on watching today’s Gamecocks and Hilltoppers game? Catch the action at E. A. Diddle Arena in Bowling Green, KY, as the Hilltoppers hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on CBSS. The over/under for this game is set at 140 points, and the Hilltoppers are the home favorites against the Gamecocks in a Conference USA conference matchup.
JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS VS WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -3.5
This game will be played at E. A. Diddle Arena at 5:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Hilltoppers.
- Not only will Western Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Gamecocks Win in Bowling Green?
After starting the season 4-4 on the road, Jacksonville State has won three straight away from home to improve their record to 7-4. They come into this game on a four-game winning streak, including a 61-51 win over Liberty in their last game.
So far this season, the Gamecocks have been the underdog in seven of their 17 games, going 3-4 in those games. As the underdog, they have an average scoring margin of +3.4 points per game.
As the underdog, Jacksonville State has been solid against the spread this season, going 5-2. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Gamecocks have an ATS mark of 7-3. On the road, their ATS record is 6-2 this year and they are a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road games.
This season, the over/under record for Jacksonville State is 3-12. In their games, the average scoring total is 129.7 points compared to the average over/under line of 136.3. Today’s over/under line of 140 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this year and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.
In their most recent game, the Jacksonville State offense concluded with only 61 points against Liberty. Throughout the game, they made 3/11 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 43.1%. The team’s top scorer is Kyky Tandy, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19.1, while Quincy Clark also maintains a PPG average of 8.6 leading up to the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Jacksonville State defense is giving up an average of 61.8 points per contest. Jacksonville State’s three-point defense is currently 18th in the country at 4.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 34.7% of their shots vs. Jacksonville State.
Will Western Kentucky Come Through as Home Favorites?
Western Kentucky is favored by 3.5 points at home against Jacksonville State. The Hilltoppers have gone 4-2 at home this season, and they enter this game with a four-game win streak at home.
Overall, Western Kentucky has a record of 12-4, and they are 1-1 in Conference USA games. Their average scoring margin at home is -0.5, and they have gone 5-2 on the road this year.
Western Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 7-6, and they have gone 3-4 vs. the spread as the favorite. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hilltoppers are 6-4 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than the average over/under line in Western Kentucky’s games this season (151.3). So far, the over/under record in their games is 4-9. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. On the season, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.
The Western Kentucky offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against Sam Houston State. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.2% and connected on 10 threes. Offensively, the Hilltoppers have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 189th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 318th in percentage and 264th in three-pointers made.
At this time, the Hilltoppers’ defense is positioned 213rd in the country, permitting 73.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. Sam Houston State, the Bearkats finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 78 points vs. Western Kentucky.