Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Gamecocks and Flames. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Flames at Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, VA. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Conference USA conference game currently have the Flames as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 130 points.
JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS VS LIBERTY FLAMES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Liberty Flames -10.5
This game will be played at Liberty Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.
WHY BET THE LIBERTY FLAMES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Flames.
- Not only will Liberty pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -10.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Gamecocks Defense Show Up in Lynchburg?
Through 16 games, Jacksonville State has a record of 9-7, and they have won three games in a row. In their last game, they defeated FIU by a score of 70-63. So far, the Gamecocks have gone 1-0 in conference play and 8-7 in non-conference action.
As the underdog, Jacksonville State has gone 2-4 this season, and they are 3-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.4, and they have a two-game road winning streak. Their record as the underdog this season is 2-4.
As the underdog this season, Jacksonville State has an ATS record of 4-2. On the road, the Gamecocks have an ATS record of 5-2 this season and they are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Jacksonville State games sits at 3-11. Today’s over/under line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year, which is 136.7. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-1 with an average of 152 points scored in those games.
The Gamecocks’ offense wrapped up their last game with 70 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 72.4 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Gamecocks have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 127th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 243rd in percentage and 321st in three-pointers made.
At present, the Gamecocks’ defense is nationally ranked 15th, allowing 62.4 points per game. Jacksonville State’s three-point defense is currently 12th in the country at 4.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 34.7% of their shots vs. Jacksonville State.
Will Liberty Come Through as Home Favorites?
Liberty comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 11 of their 16 games this season. They have gone 8-3 in those games, and they are 7-3 at home this year. So far, they have an overall record of 11-5, and they have gone 0-1 in Conference USA.
Over their last 10 games at home, the Flames have gone 7-3. In their last outing, they fell to Western Kentucky by a score of 70-68. This season, they have an average scoring margin of +8.8 at home, compared to -3.7 on the road.
As the favorite this season, Liberty has an 8-3 record vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flames are 7-3 ATS. At home, Liberty is 7-3 vs. the spread this year.
So far this season, the over/under record for Liberty games is 5-7-1. The average scoring total in their games is 140.5, which is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 139.2. Today’s over/under line of 130 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games of 142 and their last five games of 139. On the year, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 130.
Coming off their recent game, the Liberty offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Western Kentucky. Their field goal percentage for the game was 34.3%, and they made 8 threes. Zach Cleveland led the team in scoring, putting up 23 points. Additionally, Kyle Rode contributed 15 points for the Flames.
So far this season, the Liberty defense has been performing well, ranking 12th in the country at 61.9 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Liberty’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.5% this season.