The Dolphins and Ospreys are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Ospreys will host the game at UNF Arena in Jacksonville, FL. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 144.5 points, and the Ospreys are favored to win at home against the Dolphins.
JACKSONVILLE DOLPHINS VS NORTH FLORIDA OSPREYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: North Florida Ospreys -4
This game will be played at UNF Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, January 12th.
WHY BET THE NORTH FLORIDA OSPREYS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Ospreys.
- Not only will North Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Do the Dolphins Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Through 16 games this season, Jacksonville has gone 9-7. As the underdog, they have a record of 1-6. On the road, the Dolphins have gone 2-7, and they enter this game on a three-game losing streak.
After losing to Stetson by a score of 71-55, Jacksonville’s record in Atlantic Sun games is 0-2. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Dolphins have gone 2-8.
As the underdog this season, Jacksonville has gone just 1-6 against the spread. Their overall ATS record is 5-8, and their road ATS mark is 2-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Dolphins have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 3-7 over their last 10 games.
Today’s over/under line of 144.5 for the Jacksonville Dolphins’ game against North Florida is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (139.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1 with an average scoring total of 135 points.
Against Stetson, the Jacksonville had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.9 points per game. They scored 55 points and posted a field goal percentage of 38% in the game. Robert McCray is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Marcus Niblack brings a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.
In terms of defense, Jacksonville is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 74.0 points per game. Against Stetson in their most recent game, the Jacksonville defense gave up a total of 71 points while allowing Stetson to hit 45% of their shots.
Taking a Look at the Ospreys Chances at Home
North Florida comes into this game with an overall record of 8-9, including a 1-1 mark in Atlantic Sun play. They have been much better at home, going 3-2 compared to 2-7 on the road.
So far this season, the Ospreys have been the favorite in four games, going 2-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +.8 points per game, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.
North Florida has an ATS record of 7-6-1 this season, including a mark of 2-3 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ospreys are 4-6 vs. the spread, and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite. However, they have gone 1-0 ATS in their last 3 home games and 2-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
North Florida games have finished with an average of 149.1 points this season, and today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games of 152. So far, 12 of their 17 games have had higher over/under lines than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 145 points.
The Ospreys’ offense finished with 78 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 76.7 points per contest. Chaz Lanier was the leading scorer for the Ospreys, putting up 19 points. In addition, Dorian James contributed 13 points.
On defense, North Florida is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 74.2 points per game. Against Florida Gulf Coast in their most recent game, the North Florida defense gave up a total of 58 points while allowing Florida Gulf Coast to hit 37% of their shots.