Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Dolphins versus the Colonels? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Baptist Health Arena in Richmond, KY. The over/under for this game is set at 145.5 points, and Eastern Kentucky is favored by -8.5 vs. Jacksonville in a Atlantic Sun conference matchup.


The Pick: Jacksonville Dolphins +8.5

This game will be played at Baptist Health Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Colonels.
  • Even though we have Eastern Kentucky winning straight-up, we like Jacksonville at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Jacksonville Shock Everyone at Baptist Health Arena?

So far this season, Jacksonville has gone 15-16, including a 6-11 record in Atlantic Sun play. The Dolphins have gone just 3-13 on the road, compared to a 9-3 mark at home. Over their last 10 games, they have gone just 1-9 away from home.

As an underdog this season, Jacksonville has gone 5-13. They come into this game having won their last game against Kennesaw State, 92-86. On the road, they have gone 1-4 over their last five games.

As the underdog, Jacksonville has gone 8-10 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Dolphins are 5-11 ATS, but they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog.

So far this season, the over/under record for Jacksonville games is 16-12. The average scoring total in their games this season is 143.5 points, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line in their games of 142.3 points. Today’s over/under line is 145.5 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

Jacksonville’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Kennesaw State, finishing the game with a total of 92 points. Their season average is now 71.5 points per game. Offensively, the Dolphins hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 282nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 301st in terms of percentage and 268th in three-pointers made.

On defense, Jacksonville is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. Kennesaw State, the Owls finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 86 points vs. Jacksonville.

Can the Colonels Hold Strong at Home?

Eastern Kentucky will look to end a two-game losing streak when they host Jacksonville on Monday. The Colonels are 17-13 overall and 12-4 in Atlantic Sun play, and they have a home record of 9-3 this season. Eastern Kentucky has won eight straight games at home.

On the year, the Colonels have been favored in 19 of their 30 games, going 13-6 in those contests. They are coming off an 81-67 loss to Lipscomb, and their average scoring margin at home is +4.7 points per game.

Eastern Kentucky has an ATS record of 13-14 this season and they are 10-9 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Colonels are 5-5 ATS. At home, EKU has gone 6-6 vs. the spread this year and they are 6-3 ATS over their last 10 home games.

Eastern Kentucky’s over/under record for the season is 13-14 and their games have averaged 154.7 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (152.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

Compared to their season average of 81.3 points per game, Eastern Kentucky struggled in their previous game. Against Lipscomb, the Colonels scored 67 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 39.7%. The top scorer for the Colonels was Leland Walker with 21 points, while Devontae Blanton also added 12 to the scoreboard.

The Colonels’ defense is presently ranked 281st nationally, allowing an average of 76.8 points per contest. Against Lipscomb in their most recent game, the Eastern Kentucky defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing Lipscomb to hit 46% of their shots.