Looking to win big? The Cyclones and Cougars face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN. The Cougars are hosting the game at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 122 points, and Houston is favored by -5 to win at home against Iowa State.


The Pick: Houston Cougars -5

This game will be played at T-Mobile Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Not only will Houston pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 122 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Cyclones Win on the Road?

After winning their last game against Baylor, 76-62, the Cyclones enter this game with a three-game win streak and a 24-7 overall record. In Big 12 play, Iowa State has gone 16-5 compared to 8-2 in non-conference games. On the road, the Cyclones are 6-6 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

For the year, Iowa State has been the underdog in eight games, going 4-4 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Cyclones have gone 1-2 in their last three games and 3-2 in their last five.

As the underdog this season, Iowa State has a solid ATS record of 5-2-1. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cyclones are 6-3-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-5-1 this year and 22-10-2 overall. Over their last 10 road games, Iowa State is 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 122 is lower than the average over/under line in Iowa State’s games this season (137.9). This year, the over/under record for the Cyclones is 17-17. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points.

The Cyclones’ offense wrapped up their last game with 76 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 75.8 points per contest. Offensively, the Cyclones have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 113rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 173rd in percentage and 267th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Cyclones’ defense is nationally ranked 6th, allowing 61.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Houston. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.3%.

Will the Cougars Defense Show Up at Home?

With a record of 28-3, the Houston Cougars have been dominant all season long. They have won 11 straight games and have gone a perfect 21-0 at home. In fact, they have not lost at home all season long, and their average margin of victory at home is +26.0 points per game.

Today, the Cougars are favored by 5 points against Iowa State. This season, they have been favored in all 31 of their games, going 29-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.5 points per game, and they have won three straight games on the road.

As the favorite this season, Houston has gone 16-13-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 14-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cougars are 5-3-2.

This season, the over/under record for Houston games is 14-18. So far, 25 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 122. In their last three games, the average scoring total is exactly 122 points.

In their latest game, Houston offense put up 82 points against Texas Tech. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 49.2% and made 12 threes. The top scorer for the Cougars was LJ Cryer with 20 points, while Emanuel Sharp also added 17 to the scoreboard.

In the current season, the Houston defense has excelled, sitting 1st in the nation by allowing 56.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. Iowa State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.6%.